8 Seeds are 9-33 against 1 seeds in the NCAA tournament

[beachbumdawg]

Well MSU has about a 20% chance at pulling off the win against Memphis (should they sneak past UO)

Willie (Portland, OR): Who has the better chance at beating Memphis.......Oregon or Mississippi St.?

Pete Tiernan: (1:13 PM ET ) Well considering that nine seeds are 3-47 against one seeds in the second round, and eight seeds are 9-33, I would pick Mississippi State.

 

[Woof Man Jack]

It shows just how damn difficult getting past this weekend is going to be. I say we would beat Mempis two or three times out of ten...seems to fall in line with your stat.

 

[Badon]

that guy isn't going to look at the teams or the matchups... just the historic 8 or 9 versus 1 statistics. Ridiculous.

Pete Tiernan: (1:13 PM ET ) Well considering that nine seeds are 3-47 against one seeds in the second round, and eight seeds are 9-33, I would pick Mississippi State.

 

[RebelBruiser]

So 1 seeds are undefeated against 16 seeds and 80-12 in the second round. So if you're a 1 seed, you essentially have an 87% chance of reaching the Sweet Sixteen. That's pretty good odds.

 

[Uncle Leo]

Bracket Breakdown: South and West

(Here's his preview of the East and Midwest regions.)

Note that that's not our chance of beating Memphis alone, but of reaching the Sweet 16.

A few interesting notes overall...
Only three #1 seeds have a better than 50% chance of even reaching the Elite 8.
Kansas has a 50% chance of reaching the championship game, and a better than 1 in 3 chance of winning it all.
The East region looks ridiculously tight.</p>

 

[dawgball]

Just trippin, McLure.

 

[PineGroveBully]

1 in 600 trillion. I would hold off on printing up Natl Champs memorabilia until at least next weekend.</p>

 

[Shmuley]

an Oregon victory.

Very bad karma.

 

[beachbumdawg]

</p>

 

[dawgball]

Nobody, just applying some McLure math to the stats.