I keep seeing tomorrow’s game billed as a must win for our tournament hopes. At least from one reputable source, that’s not the case.
Torvik currently has us as the highest 11 seed with a 65% chance to get a bid. Lose tomorrow and we drop to the next to last team in with basically a 50/50 chance. Winning against the Cocks after that would not help us but losing would knock us all the way out of the projected field with only a 16% chance to make it. Lose to the Aggies, beat USC and lose at Vandy and we are the last team in with a 35% chance of making it. If this happens I think 35% is high and we have to be playing on at least Saturday in Nashville.
Win the next two though and we are all the way up to a 10 seed with a 78% chance of getting a bid.
Want to go crazy and win all three? Then you’re in the 8/9 game with a 90% chance of getting a bid. I suspect we would be 100% if we win the next three though.
Torvik also provide a rooting guide. Our guide tomorrow includes Minnesota, Utah, Bama, Notre Dame, Arizona and K State.
The fact remains - win all three and we don’t have anything to worry about. Tomorrow is the most important home game in quite some time. Hope the guys can pull it off.
Torvik currently has us as the highest 11 seed with a 65% chance to get a bid. Lose tomorrow and we drop to the next to last team in with basically a 50/50 chance. Winning against the Cocks after that would not help us but losing would knock us all the way out of the projected field with only a 16% chance to make it. Lose to the Aggies, beat USC and lose at Vandy and we are the last team in with a 35% chance of making it. If this happens I think 35% is high and we have to be playing on at least Saturday in Nashville.
Win the next two though and we are all the way up to a 10 seed with a 78% chance of getting a bid.
Want to go crazy and win all three? Then you’re in the 8/9 game with a 90% chance of getting a bid. I suspect we would be 100% if we win the next three though.
Torvik also provide a rooting guide. Our guide tomorrow includes Minnesota, Utah, Bama, Notre Dame, Arizona and K State.
The fact remains - win all three and we don’t have anything to worry about. Tomorrow is the most important home game in quite some time. Hope the guys can pull it off.