It makes me nervous seeing people outside the state picking us to win the regional, but I'll stick with my pick: State advances.
Looking at stats and competition, we should have the best pitching staff in the regional, which is big in this format. I think it will come down to our offense. St. John's strength is their bullpen, so we need to score early Friday. The #1 hitting team in the ACC will score, so we need to score against their below-average ACC pitching staff.
My pick comes down to the SEC vs. everyone else. We saw better pitching in the SEC and won 20 games. Our bats will wake up over three to five games against these arms.