Bubble Watch: Double Help in the Bug 12

[615dawg]

Baylor is going t take care of Oklahoma State, up 6 with a few seconds left.

West Virginia and Iowa State coming down to the wire. ISU down one. Go Cyclones!

 

[615dawg]

Baylor goes final. Oklahoma State is out and UNC is in after Tarheels beat Florida State

 

[615dawg]

Looks like WVU is going to pick up a Q1 win. Not ideal, but WVU won't pass us and they have Kansas State on Saturday.

 

[FlotownDawg]

We control our own destiny. Win our final two regular season games and we are in, no questions asked.

 

[pseudonym]

Looks like WVU is going to pick up a Q1 win. Not ideal, but WVU won't pass us and they have Kansas State on Saturday.

Wow, Iowa State has collapsed. They were ranked #11 coming off a win over Kansas, then lost 6 of 7.

 

[pseudonym]

Baylor goes final. Oklahoma State is out and UNC is in after Tarheels beat Florida State

Oklahoma State has now lost 5 in a row, all to good teams. Another tough game at Texas Tech. The Big 12 is such a tough league.

 

[QuaoarsKing]

We control our own destiny. Win our final two regular season games and we are in, no questions asked.

Probably, but you never know.

For example, Florida Atlantic, Oral Roberts, and Charleston are by far the best team in their leagues, and if they win their conference tournament, those will be 1-bid leagues. But if they get upset in their conference tournament, they may still get in as an at-large and bump a bubble team out.

Similarly, if the any of the major conferences, or the AAC or West Coast, is won by a team not projected to be in the field, that could be another bubble team gone.

I agree that we're probably in at 9-9 no matter what happens in the SEC Tournament, but if we're sitting on the 11 line and then suddenly the bubble shrinks by 2 or 3 spots, we may still be a little nervous. We need to do whatever we can to keep our resume better than USC, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Wisconsin, North Carolina, etc., just in case.

 

[AstroDog]

Kind of watching the MVC Championship. Probably either Drake or Bradley will win it. Likely both these teams are in the dance. We sure don't need someone lower than them to win it all.

 

[57stratdawg]

Wow, Iowa State has collapsed. They were ranked #11 coming off a win over Kansas, then lost 6 of 7.

Similar to Auburn

 

[FlotownDawg]

Kind of watching the MVC Championship. Probably either Drake or Bradley will win it. Likely both these teams are in the dance. We sure don't need someone lower than them to win it all.

I really doubt either of those teams will get an at large bid. They haven’t shown up on any mock brackets. Drake’s NET is 69 while Bradley’s is 56. I think the only bid stealers we need to worry about is WCC, Pac 12, AAC, and maybe C-USA

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

Nevada losing to a bad Wyoming team last night is a positive for us, they were slightly ahead of us in many projections.

 

[HailStateTate]

Similar to Auburn

Similar to us too. We have just bounced back since then

 

[BulldogBlitz]

We control our own destiny. Win our final two regular season games and we are in, no questions asked.

I feel like we've seen this before.....and ended up matched up with UNC in the NIT.

 

[patdog]

Probably, but you never know.

For example, Florida Atlantic, Oral Roberts, and Charleston are by far the best team in their leagues, and if they win their conference tournament, those will be 1-bid leagues. But if they get upset in their conference tournament, they may still get in as an at-large and bump a bubble team out.

Similarly, if the any of the major conferences, or the AAC or West Coast, is won by a team not projected to be in the field, that could be another bubble team gone.

I agree that we're probably in at 9-9 no matter what happens in the SEC Tournament, but if we're sitting on the 11 line and then suddenly the bubble shrinks by 2 or 3 spots, we may still be a little nervous. We need to do whatever we can to keep our resume better than USC, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Wisconsin, North Carolina, etc., just in case.

FAU would turn CUSA into a 2-big league, but Oral Roberts and Charleston would be left out (remember if they lose in their conference tournament, that's a bad NET loss that brings them down considerably). A non-bid team winning a major conference tournament is rare, and even then it seems the team that gets bumped is usually the lowest bid team in their own conference.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

We are still closer to the cut line than some realize. I think everyone is in agreement that tonight is a crucial game we can’t afford to lose. Saturday is more up for debate but you make things a lot easier on yourself if you win at Vandy too.

Lunardi has us back in the Last 4 In after West Virginia’s win last night. So we are definitely not out of the woods just yet.