Cowtown's thread got me thinking. Tiger Woods will at least tie Jack by the end of 2010.
I will buy.
I will buy.
Buy/Sell: Tiger Woods
- Thread starter BriantheDawg
- Start date
If he only has 10 more chances by the end of 2010, that would be tough. If you extended the bet to 2011, I'd Buy.
I think he ties Jack in 2011 and passes him in 2012. He'll be roughly 36, maybe 37 when he passes Jack's record, which should leave him some future chances at winning a decent number more. I think he'll even win a handful after he turns 40. I know the injuries are a concern, but he's in good enough shape, and he's competitive enough to keep going and keep winning into his 40s.
I think he ties Jack in 2011 and passes him in 2012. He'll be roughly 36, maybe 37 when he passes Jack's record, which should leave him some future chances at winning a decent number more. I think he'll even win a handful after he turns 40. I know the injuries are a concern, but he's in good enough shape, and he's competitive enough to keep going and keep winning into his 40s.
Did you guys catch the graphic that pertained to top ten finishes in the majors? Tiger has to finish in the top ten of each major from now until 2019 to match Jack.
That's stout.
That's stout.
Woof Man Jack said:
</p>
I'd be more curious to see how many Top 10s Jack had at this point in his career.
In 2019, Tiger will be 43. It's unlikely that he finishes in the top 10 in every major between now and that point in his career, but that will be a tough record to catch. I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility though.
The course locations set up great for him. 10 majors between now and the end of 2010. First, two Masters. Tiger has won 4 out of 11 of them. Safe bet is he wins 1 of the next 2.
Also, the next two US Opens are at Bethpage Black in 2009 and Pebble Beach in 2010. Tiger has won the US Open both times it was played at these locales. He won Beth Page in 2002 by 3 strokes and Pebble Beach in 2000 by 8 strokes. Safe bet 1 out of 2.
The British Open is at Royal Birkdale this year, Westin Turnberry next year, and the Old Course at St. Andrews in 2010. Woods owns the Old Course. He won the British Open in 2000 and 2005 when it was played there and the closest anyone got was 5 strokes. Turnberry has not hosted since 1994, so Woods has never played the Open there. He last played Birkdale in 1998 where he finished 3rd. Safe bet 1 out of 3.
Finally, the PGA Championship is at Oakland Hills this year, Hazeltine next year, and Whispering Straits in 2010. Tiger finished 2nd at Hazeltine in 2002. 24th at Whispering Straits in 2004. He finished first in cup points at the 2002 Ryder Cup held at Oakland Hills. Safe bet again 1 out of 3.
That would give him the needed 4. Another thing to consider is he could tie Snead's career PGA tour wins by the end of 2010. He currently has 65 and the record is 82. He has averaged 7 wins the past 3 years. If that holds true he'd tie it (65 + 3 more wins in 2008 +7 wins in 2009 + 7 wins in 2010). So he could be playing in the 2010 PGA Tour Championship to break both records.
Also, the next two US Opens are at Bethpage Black in 2009 and Pebble Beach in 2010. Tiger has won the US Open both times it was played at these locales. He won Beth Page in 2002 by 3 strokes and Pebble Beach in 2000 by 8 strokes. Safe bet 1 out of 2.
The British Open is at Royal Birkdale this year, Westin Turnberry next year, and the Old Course at St. Andrews in 2010. Woods owns the Old Course. He won the British Open in 2000 and 2005 when it was played there and the closest anyone got was 5 strokes. Turnberry has not hosted since 1994, so Woods has never played the Open there. He last played Birkdale in 1998 where he finished 3rd. Safe bet 1 out of 3.
Finally, the PGA Championship is at Oakland Hills this year, Hazeltine next year, and Whispering Straits in 2010. Tiger finished 2nd at Hazeltine in 2002. 24th at Whispering Straits in 2004. He finished first in cup points at the 2002 Ryder Cup held at Oakland Hills. Safe bet again 1 out of 3.
That would give him the needed 4. Another thing to consider is he could tie Snead's career PGA tour wins by the end of 2010. He currently has 65 and the record is 82. He has averaged 7 wins the past 3 years. If that holds true he'd tie it (65 + 3 more wins in 2008 +7 wins in 2009 + 7 wins in 2010). So he could be playing in the 2010 PGA Tour Championship to break both records.
Since turning pro in late 96, Tiger has played in 42 majors. Of those, he has missed the cut only once. He has finished in the top 10 29 times and of course has won 14. Winning 14 out of 42 is a 33% winning clip. In order to tie he would have to win 40% through 2010 which is hardly a stretch based on his historical performance. As a result, I say soft buy.
Why 2010? He could do another technical grandslam this year and would only have to win one more in 2009. Total buy.
Get unlimited access today.