Can someone explain the PAC 12 title game betting line?

[Perd Hapley]

Washington is 12-0.

Washington beat Oregon by a FG in the regular season.

Washington is a nearly double-digit underdog (+9.5) to Oregon in the PAC 12 title game, with no critical injuries of any key players on either side.

Did Oregon secretly become Georgia in the past 3 weeks? What the hell is going on here?

 

[DogStuckAtUM]

Washington is running on fumes (though credit to them for winning everything in front of them) and something just ain’t right with Penix the past few weeks.

 

[ZombieKissinger]

I just think it’s because Oregon has been killing people lately. Lost the close one at Washington, but just beat Oregon State 31-7. USC game was closer but still two scores. Won at Utah 35-6. Meanwhile Washington has been squeaking by

 

[mcdawg22]

That’s nuts. Sure a favorite but 9.5. It’s one of those too good to be true bets though. You know it’s easy money but when Oregon wins by 10 you tip your hat to Vegas. They didn’t build a 500 ft eyeball by losing.

 

[Perd Hapley]

That’s nuts. Sure a favorite but 9.5. It’s one of those too good to be true bets though. You know it’s easy money but when Oregon wins by 10 you tip your hat to Vegas. They didn’t build a 500 ft eyeball by losing.

Yeah my thoughts exactly. I wouldn’t be shocked by a 10-point Oregon win at all, but I don’t see how that is considered the baseline result. Oregon -4.5 is about the highest I thought it might get.

 

[Baddog11]

They’re so good, it’s almost like they have Biff’s sports almanac.

 

[Lettuce]

Washington is 12-0.

Washington beat Oregon by a FG in the regular season.

Washington is a nearly double-digit underdog (+9.5) to Oregon in the PAC 12 title game, with no critical injuries of any key players on either side.

Did Oregon secretly become Georgia in the past 3 weeks? What the hell is going on here?

It was raining if I remember correctly and it seem like they have it correct

 

[KingBarkus]

I’ve got future tickets on Oregon. Season totals (won), PAC 12 win, college playoff participation, etc. Time for Lanning to screw me, I guess.

 

[woozman]

That’s nuts. Sure a favorite but 9.5. It’s one of those too good to be true bets though.

You sound like DesotoCountyDawg before the bball game last night.****

 

[paindonthurt]

Yeah my thoughts exactly. I wouldn’t be shocked by a 10-point Oregon win at all, but I don’t see how that is considered the baseline result. Oregon -4.5 is about the highest I thought it might get.

They aren’t creating lines based on the results of the game.
They are trying to get 50% on both sides of the line and run on home with the juice and build more 500 ft eyeballs in the sky.

 

[Perd Hapley]

They aren’t creating lines based on the results of the game.
They are trying to get 50% on both sides of the line and run on home with the juice and build more 500 ft eyeballs in the sky.

Precisely….its just really surprising that 50% of folks would think that a team that already lost to a team would be comfortable picking them to win by 10+ over that same team.

 

[patdog]

Line seems strange. Oregon did dominate that game statistically, so I wouldn't be surprised if they win. But 9.5 is a lot of points to lay on the road. I would think closer to pick-em.

 

[paindonthurt]

Precisely….its just really surprising that 50% of folks would think that a team that already lost to a team would be comfortable picking them to win by 10+ over that same team.

I’m guessing it’s based on the way people have been betting on Oregon and a lot of other data

if tons of people jump on Washington early, they can always lower the line a lot and quick

 

[Dawgfan61]

I’ve got future tickets on Oregon. Season totals (won), PAC 12 win, college playoff participation, etc. Time for Lanning to screw me, I guess.

You should be able to bet Washington Money Line +300 and get yourself a nice little hedge if Lanning does screw you.