Current National Championship Odds

57stratdawg

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Mar 24, 2010
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Per FanDuel:

+110 - Michigan
+350 - Texas
+450 - Washington
+550 - Alabama

+1600 - Florida State

+5500 - Georgia

Not much doubt who that market thinks is in.
 
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Perd Hapley

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Sep 30, 2022
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Per FanDuel:

+110 - Michigan
+350 - Texas
+450 - Washington
+550 - Alabama

+1600 - Florida State

+5500 - Georgia

Not much doubt who that market thinks is in.
Holy balls. So just betting on FSU to make it pays 16 to 1 if they make it? Am I reading that right?
 

Bulldog from Birth

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Jan 23, 2007
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Holy balls. So just betting on FSU to make it pays 16 to 1 if they make it? Am I reading that right?
This is odds to win the national title. Not to get into the playoff. Everyone knows Florida State can’t hang with these teams and win 2 straight.
 

ZombieKissinger

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May 29, 2013
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It’s actually kind of interesting. Question of how much Alabama is weighted in the odds based on who Vegas thinks will get in vs how bad they think FSU is compared to the rest. Doesn’t necessarily indicate the market thinks Bama is in if they think FSU is bad enough
 

Perd Hapley

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Sep 30, 2022
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This is odds to win the national title. Not to get into the playoff. Everyone knows Florida State can’t hang with these teams and win 2 straight.
That’s a completely different situation then. If Bama was cobsidered 100% in, they’d have far better odds of winning it than even Michigan.
 

Perd Hapley

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Sep 30, 2022
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The latest:

IMG_5415.jpeg

Not much change, but FSU / Bama are both down slightly more, UGA up slightly.

My interpretation is that oddsmakers view Texas as being in, and it being 50/50 between Bama and FSU for the last spot.

I also couldn’t imagine making those bets on Michigan at +110 or Texas at +330 without knowing the whole field. Really dicey.
 

57stratdawg

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Mar 24, 2010
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Here’s some more odds.

CFB Combo of Michigan, Washington, FSU & Texas is -190. That’s the most likely outcome based on FamDuel. Next closest combo is UM, UW, Bama & FSU at +270.

Single team odds to make it:

-480 FSU
-375 Texas
+134 Alabama
+1600 UGA

A lot of $ to be made if you think the SEC deserves a team…
 
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pseudonym

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Oct 6, 2022
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Related to the discussion of who should be in, everyone knows Alabama and/or Georgia would be favorites against the entire field. That seems significant if you’re looking for the four best teams.
 
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mcdawg22

Well-known member
Sep 18, 2004
11,197
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Per FanDuel:

+110 - Michigan
+350 - Texas
+450 - Washington
+550 - Alabama

+1600 - Florida State

+5500 - Georgia

Not much doubt who that market thinks is in.
I think putting money on the other 3 is safe money. The Big10 is not as good as everyone is making them out to be. Ohio State and Michigan are good teams that’s reputation is inflated in a conference full of teams that can’t ******* score.
 
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8dog

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Feb 23, 2008
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Per FanDuel:

+110 - Michigan
+350 - Texas
+450 - Washington
+550 - Alabama

+1600 - Florida State

+5500 - Georgia

Not much doubt who that market thinks is in.
I think FSU may have similar odds even if they are in.
 

Perd Hapley

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Sep 30, 2022
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Here’s some more odds.

CFB Combo of Michigan, Washington, FSU & Texas is -190. That’s the most likely outcome based on FamDuel. Next closest combo is UM, UW, Bama & FSU at +270.
I think if FSU is in, they have to be the 3-seed. If committee decides they care a lot about undefeated records, you can’t just have Texas at #3, FSU at #4, Bama at #5, or same order but with with switched Texas/Bama.

If either Texas or Bama is moved ahead of FSU for that #3 slot, you have to put them both in and FSU out. So the FSU decision really is going to drive everything.
 

PK Dawg

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Jul 17, 2022
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This includes odds to make the playoff and odds of winning. Interesting dynamic
 

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She Mate Me

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Dec 7, 2008
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That’s a completely different situation then. If Bama was cobsidered 100% in, they’d have far better odds of winning it than even Michigan.

That's certainly usually the case, but I'm not so sure this year. Michigan is at the top of most every significant data driven poll out there.
 

Perd Hapley

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Sep 30, 2022
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That's certainly usually the case, but I'm not so sure this year. Michigan is at the top of most every significant data driven poll out there.
I think if the field was released and you knew Bama was in, you’d see Bama and Michigan both at +150 or something like that. If you knew Bama was out, probably see something like Mich +100.
 
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