Did you all see Elon’s AI timeline to Bloomberg last week?

57stratdawg

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Mar 24, 2010
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1 to 2 years = AI will be better than every human at everything.

2 to 3 years after that = AI passes humans in global production of goods and services.

That would mean from ChatGPT to most of the world’s economy in less than a decade and getting faster from there.

Buckle up.
 
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POTUS

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Sep 29, 2022
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AI cannot create. It can only aggregate from its vocabulary. This is why AI people have too many fingers. It doesn’t even know it’s a finger. It just knows lines go there. So let’s pump the brakes on smarter than people.
 

GloryDawg

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Mar 3, 2005
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I don't think the power grid will be able to handle it. They will have to figure out how to make AI work with less power before it takes off like that.
 
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BoDawg.sixpack

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Feb 5, 2010
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Once quantum computing can be operated, analyzed and interpreted by AI, humans will live a life of leisure. Labor, debt and money will become obsolete. Then Ray Kurzweil's singularity will begin.
 
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Xenomorph

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Feb 15, 2007
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AI cannot create. It can only aggregate from its vocabulary. This is why AI people have too many fingers. It doesn’t even know it’s a finger. It just knows lines go there. So let’s pump the brakes on smarter than people.
My man... you're talking about the shittay free-to-use AI that generates 6 fingered hands by sixpackers every Wednesday.

Smart people are telling you what's up with the AI being used by the big boy companies. At this point you're almost a flat earther if you're still denying what's coming. I mean.. Nvidia hasn't gone from $7 to $140 in 4 years on the backs of pimple faced geeks buying video cards in mom's basement.
 

Dawgg

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Sep 9, 2012
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1 to 2 years = AI will be better than every human at everything.

2 to 3 years after that = AI passes humans in global production of goods and services.

That would mean from ChatGPT to most of the world’s economy in less than a decade and getting faster from there.

Buckle up.
Cool, so we’re still 30-40 years away from being anywhere near that happening.
 

She Mate Me

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Dec 7, 2008
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Look, I'm all for AI making life easy as hell, but I have questions that I think are relevant.

I'll be shocked if the energy requirements to support AI at the levels being flippantly contemplated aren't extremely underestimated.

Assuming that people are going to somehow be quickly replaced by AI, knowing as much as I do about how often human hands and minds are required to not completely 17 up the incredibly fallible man made equipment I use on a daily basis. Well, I assume the replacing of people there will seriously underestimated and people will be required to fix that underestimate.

I kinda like Elon, and I'm sure his work ethic is as advertised. I, however, believe he is probably way behind in producing products that make sense in the real world on a cost benefit equation. Tesla would not exist without government subsidies, many years of too easy capital, and useful idiots willing to pay too much for basic transportation.
 

POTUS

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Sep 29, 2022
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My man... you're talking about the shittay free-to-use AI that generates 6 fingered hands by sixpackers every Wednesday.

Smart people are telling you what's up with the AI being used by the big boy companies. At this point you're almost a flat earther if you're still denying what's coming. I mean.. Nvidia hasn't gone from $7 to $140 in 4 years on the backs of pimple faced geeks buying video cards in mom's basement.
No smart person would disagree with what I wrote. AI is a tool, and potentially a powerful one, but a hammer doesn’t design and build a house. An architect, engineer, and contractors do. Will AI perform tasks for us? Yes. I foresee AI forever changing driving much sooner than we realize. But there are levels to this thing buddy and I assure a few of the folks I’ve learned from on this topic are well versed. Following rules and deciding to break them in order to innovate are two different levels of intelligence. AI cannot do the latter. Humans can.
 

drexeldog23

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Dec 2, 2022
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nothing to do with AI but i just started the Musk- Rogan interview to listen to while i go to sleep and Elon said he is in the top 20 in the world in the Diablo rankings. i have never played this game but they say its the hardest game in the world because you have to make a move every 10 milliseconds. just thought that was interesting.
 

msstatelp1

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Aug 21, 2012
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1 to 2 years = AI will be better than every human at everything.

2 to 3 years after that = AI passes humans in global production of goods and services.

That would mean from ChatGPT to most of the world’s economy in less than a decade and getting faster from there.

Buckle up.
Musk has become the epitome of over promise and under deliver. AI is coming, no doubt of that but I don’t think it’ll develop that fast.
 

grinnindawg

Member
Aug 22, 2012
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1 to 2 years = AI will be better than every human at everything.

2 to 3 years after that = AI passes humans in global production of goods and services.

That would mean from ChatGPT to most of the world’s economy in less than a decade and getting faster from there.

Buckle up

Meh. It is a useful tool. Used well it will help with some stuff.
It can also get in the way.

Several years ago to detect problems in transmission media, I built a cousin of the techniques used in Large Language Models used by AI. Strangely as more data was added it became less accurate for some problems.

An engineer way smarter than me explained that as you add degrees of freedom by increasing the sample size the solution goes from a point to an ellipse to a sphere..

The AI techniques used today don't have exactly the same issue I'll be surprised if it takes over the world.

This theoretical physicist has a good take on it..
 
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Howiefeltersnstch

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Dec 28, 2019
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I hope President Trump reads this board so he can get advice. We have to top minds that know more about AI than the people creating it, more about running a university, more about coaching any sport, more about real estate, investing, marketing.....hell....you name it.
 

mstateglfr

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Feb 24, 2008
13,791
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My oldest is going to college next year with a plan and path to become a physical therapist. Takes 6 to 7 years for the doctorate, but hopefully it'll still be a job AI hasn't fully taken over and has only mostly taken over.
I figure someone still has to poke dry needles into you and scrape your shin!
 

dudehead

Active member
Jul 9, 2006
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1 to 2 years = AI will be better than every human at everything.

2 to 3 years after that = AI passes humans in global production of goods and services.

That would mean from ChatGPT to most of the world’s economy in less than a decade and getting faster from there.

Buckle up.
I believe Musk yearns to be the first "AI Bionic man."
 

HotMop

Well-known member
May 8, 2006
5,242
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1 to 2 years = AI will be better than every human at everything.

2 to 3 years after that = AI passes humans in global production of goods and services.

That would mean from ChatGPT to most of the world’s economy in less than a decade and getting faster from there.

Buckle up.

**** Elon, he hasn't created anything on his own. He simply buys ideas, funds it, and claims it for his own.
 

Dawgzilla2

Well-known member
Oct 9, 2022
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Eventually, the AI will take over and we will all be grown in pods while our minds are living in The Matrix
Wait...we're ALEADY in the Matrix, and you're saying we will create another Matrix within the Matrix?

This is like when Dwight Shrute's Second Life character had another video game within Second Life.
 

horshack.sixpack

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Oct 30, 2012
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Meh. It is a useful tool. Used well it will help with some stuff.
It can also get in the way.

Several years ago to detect problems in transmission media, I built a cousin of the techniques used in Large Language Models used by AI. Strangely as more data was added it became less accurate for some problems.

An engineer way smarter than me explained that as you add degrees of freedom by increasing the sample size the solution goes from a point to an ellipse to a sphere..

The AI techniques used today don't have exactly the same issue I'll be surprised if it takes over the world.

This theoretical physicist has a good take on it..

AI models left to themselves devolve. Lots of people involved in training the models, vetting data for quality before it hits a training corpus, etc.
 

BIGDAWG44

Active member
Aug 22, 2012
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Chat gpt is just google search on steroids. You want to read something scary. Look up organic AI.
 

johnson86-1

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Aug 22, 2012
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Musk has become the epitome of over promise and under deliver. AI is coming, no doubt of that but I don’t think it’ll develop that fast.
Yup. I am a fan of Musk generally, and think he's a visionary, but most visionaries are halfway or more full of crap. Lots of people that buy in are going to his hype are going to lose their ***. Lots (hopefully lots more) are going to become filthy rich.

SolarCity to my knowledge didn't really move the ball forward on solar panels and was a commercial bust. The boring company doesn't seem to be doing anything? I think Tesla is an overhyped fancy golf cart maker that ultimately isn't going to make a huge difference in the world other than the fact that it provided a funding mechanism for the projects that will and maybe moving the ball forward on battery tech. SpaceX and Starlink are going to have more lasting impacts I think. Who knows if Neuralink is ever going to be economic, but I suspect it's going to at least move the ball forward in a valuable area. Twitter has always been a cesspit, but it's now the only mass media platform that isn't subject to censorship from a particular political stance, and it's making it harder for other platforms to engage in more obvious censorship.


But all in all, he's basically like a one many venture capital firm because of his ability to create hype. If hits on one out of ten ventures, it's probably going to be a net success.
 

Mr. Cook

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Nov 4, 2021
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1 to 2 years = AI will be better than every human at everything.

2 to 3 years after that = AI passes humans in global production of goods and services.

That would mean from ChatGPT to most of the world’s economy in less than a decade and getting faster from there.

Buckle up.
Orwell and Asimov warned y’all
 

POTUS

Well-known member
Sep 29, 2022
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How long till AI can coach defenses?
I'd be disappointed if there wasn't a nerd on a staff somewhere who was using AI to predict play tendencies based on substitution patterns. I mean every play a playcaller has ever called is on all-22 somewhere. This is exactly the kind of thing AI could be used to do. I'm quite sure there's someone working on it already and I'm equally sure State will be the last team to ever take advantage of it.
 
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