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Florida -5.5 vs State

Tractorman

Tractorman

Senior
Mar 15, 2009
977
658
93
This is one of those lines where we say that's an easy money bet on UF. In those cases, it ends up being the genius call to go ML State. It's hard for me to see it, but that is typically what happens.
 
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57stratdawg

57stratdawg

Heisman
Dec 1, 2004
148,148
23,813
113
You’re a braver man than I if you’re taking us.

I’m eyeing some UF -13.5 alt type lines.
 
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PBRME

PBRME

All-Conference
Feb 12, 2004
10,432
3,650
113
I’m putting my 100% stamped seal of approval, bet the house, lock of the week. Florida covers.

Disclaimer: I’m not a professional. This statement is for entertainment purposes only. If you decide to place money that is your decision and your decision alone. I am not responsible for any financial loss. Please don’t sue me.
 
DesotoCountyDawg

DesotoCountyDawg

Heisman
Nov 16, 2005
25,617
16,441
113
Tractorman said:
This is one of those lines where we say that's an easy money bet on UF. In those cases, it ends up being the genius call to go ML State. It's hard for me to see it, but that is typically what happens.
Click to expand...
I think I’ll make the quick trip out to the casinos and make a wager. That looks like the lock of the century.
 
Drebin

Drebin

Heisman
Aug 22, 2012
19,128
19,165
113
Tractorman said:
This is one of those lines where we say that's an easy money bet on UF. In those cases, it ends up being the genius call to go ML State. It's hard for me to see it, but that is typically what happens.
Click to expand...
Don't overthink it. Taking Florida and laying the points is the easiest money you'll make this year.

Mortgage the trailer, pawn the prosthetics, lay down the lease on the F-150. Now is the time to let emm State work for you.
 
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J

johnson86-1

All-Conference
Aug 22, 2012
13,624
4,105
113
Tractorman said:
This is one of those lines where we say that's an easy money bet on UF. In those cases, it ends up being the genius call to go ML State. It's hard for me to see it, but that is typically what happens.
Click to expand...
I feel like 90% of the time when I see an obviously incorrect line like that, the sure bet ends up being incorrect.

The reason I think this is going to be in the 10% is that everybody is also incredibly down on Florida and they are a much more well known embarrassment. If you look at schedules, it seems clear that UF has at least looked like they belong in the lower tier of P4. It's not even clear we belong in the lower tier of G5 (or G6 now? whatever it is).

I think everybody should take out a third mortgage on their trailer, bet it on UF, and then give the winnings to NIL.
 
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C

columbiadawg2

All-Conference
Feb 2, 2010
1,422
1,132
113
This line stinks. Usually a line like this screams taking us but I think it's Vegas not knowing what to do with Florida. I feel their overall talent will just overpower us and get an easy win. I'd be stunned if we look competitive but I'm a terrible gambler so my thoughts are irrelevant.
 
Drebin

Drebin

Heisman
Aug 22, 2012
19,128
19,165
113
johnson86-1 said:
I feel like 90% of the time when I see an obviously incorrect line like that, the sure bet ends up being incorrect.

The reason I think this is going to be in the 10% is that everybody is also incredibly down on Florida and they are a much more well known embarrassment. If you look at schedules, it seems clear that UF has at least looked like they belong in the lower tier of P4. It's not even clear we belong in the lower tier of G5 (or G6 now? whatever it is).

I think everybody should take out a third mortgage on their trailer, bet it on UF, and then give the winnings to NIL.
Click to expand...
This reminds me of 2019 vs LSU. That was the year that the analytics liked us but we all knew Joe Moorhead was still the coach. The line was LSU -8 or something similar. It was easy effing money. I drove to Tunica and put a pile on LSU to cover. Easiest money I ever made - until this week.
 
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B

biodawg

Senior
Mar 3, 2008
577
438
63
I think I saw the total was at 58.5. The under seems like the obvious play… but if I think the under sounds good, yall should probably play the over.
 
C

Crazy Cotton

All-Conference
Aug 26, 2012
3,354
1,108
113
Tractorman said:
This is one of those lines where we say that's an easy money bet on UF. In those cases, it ends up being the genius call to go ML State. It's hard for me to see it, but that is typically what happens.
Click to expand...
I took a little on the money line with State. Got to think there's a little pride left and we're fighting to keep a locker room while it feels like Florida is well past the point of no return.
 
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