Kentucky preview

DawgatAuburn

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Apr 25, 2006
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Saturday night is going to take FOR-EV-ER to get here. I'm so ready for this game and only wish that I could make it to the Hump on Saturday night.

These are two really evenly matched teams. Both teams take care of the ball very well and score a lot of points although they do it a little differently. Kentucky plays at one of the fastest paces in the country and has one of the most efficient offenses out there. They are also better than we are off the free throw line and they get there more often. In a close game, a few free throws can be the difference. Kentucky will also take lot of threes (not exorbitant, but still a lot) and they shoot it well from distance. We shoot it well enough but we supplement our offense with extra possessions by being strong on the offensive glass and by creating more turnovers than we commit. The numbers suggest that these are two key areas for us to be successful.
  • We are a top 50 team in offensive rebounding. Kentucky is top 10 in defensive rebounding. Defensive rebounding is obviously a focus for Mark Pope because they are a very average offensive rebounding team while at the same time cleaning up their defensive boards. I think it will be important for us to really pound the offensive glass Saturday night
  • Both teams are top 15 nationally in fewest turnovers per game (under 10). We have shown to be much better at creating turnovers which leads to us being a top 15 team in turnover margin. Kentucky is in the bottom third of the SEC and the country in creating turnovers and thus are outside the top 100 in turnover margin. Would be helpful for Saturday night to be +3, +4, +5.....the more the better.
Kentucky has a deep roster with no real prominent star. Five players average double figures. Amari Williams is at 9.9 ppg so they are close to having six players in double figures. For many teams, you can zero in on one or two guys as the main threat. With Kentucky, you never know who might have the hot hand or the most opportunities that night as evidenced by their game by game leading scorers. All five of the double figure scorers have led Kentucky in scoring at least twice but no one more than four times.
1736439881885.png

(For comparison, we have also had five different leading scorers, but in half of our games it has been Hubbard.)

Kentucky is 3-3 in Quad 1 games. The losses are all away from Rupp, two on the road (Clemson and Georgia) and a neutral loss to Ohio State. No one in the country can match their top three wins though - Duke, Florida and Gonzaga are 2, 5 and 10 in the NET. That is stroooooong. We knew Vandy hadn't really played anyone of note before Tuesday. That's not the case with Kentucky. They have been challenged multiple times and won't be likely to wilt in the face of a tough opponent.

I mean it's Kentucky. They will come in expecting to win and it will take a great effort on our part to secure the W. Will we do it? Sure, why not. A home game at night where the Hump is sure to be on fire, an opportunity to jump into the top 10, and a team who seems to be playing with a lot of confidence and unity right now. I'll guess a lot of points and a close win, 83-81 Dogs. Let's goooooooo!!!!!
 

msudawg12

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Dec 9, 2008
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I just hope like hell that our five players aren’t playing against the letters on their chest. We always have a hard time.

That and I obviously hope we aren’t playing five versus eight
 

POTUS

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Sep 29, 2022
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That and I obviously hope we aren’t playing five versus eight
I'd love some home-cooking like Vandy got against us. Let UK play 5 v. 8 and see how they like it.

We're beating them. Don't let past history worry you. The big question is can we beat Auburn at Auburn. That would quite a statement.
 
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onewoof

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Mar 4, 2008
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I really like our chances to outwork them for 40 minutes Saturday. This game will be a great game to be at in person. One you will remember for a while.
 

bulldognation

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Jan 26, 2004
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I don't believe that's ever happened with us v kensucky
I know it's a neutral site and all, but this comes to mind:

2007 SEC tournament - Mississippi State 84, Kentucky 82

UK up 76-73 at the line needing one free throw to ice the game and refs call a lane violation giving us the ball. Jamont Gordon drives the length of the court and drains a 3 to send it to OT where we go on to win.
 

pseudonym

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Oct 6, 2022
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We last beat Kentucky in Starkville in 2008.

The games since then:
yearscoreKentucky rankState rankKentucky leading scorerState leading scorernotes
201081-75 (OT)#2NRCousinsBostState led by 7 with 3 min to go in regulation, didn't score again until 3:33 to go in OT
201273-64#1NRKidd-GilchristBostState lead 41-28 at half; Rodney Hood injured (played 12 minutes)
201469-59#18NRRandleSword
201574-56#1NRLylesThomas
201788-81NRNRFoxPeters
201971-67#5NRWashingtonPeters
202178-73 (2 OT)NRNRAllenStewartState led by 9 in the 2nd half
202371-68NRNRTshiebweSmith
202491-89#16NRSheppardHubbardState led by 13 in the 2nd half
2025#6#14
 
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pseudonym

Well-known member
Oct 6, 2022
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We last beat Kentucky in Starkville in 2008.

The games since then:
yearscoreKentucky rankState rankKentucky leading scorerState leading scorernotes
201081-75 (OT)#2NRCousinsBostState led by 7 with 3 min to go in regulation, didn't score again until 3:33 to go in OT
201273-64#1NRKidd-GilchristBostState lead 41-28 at half; Rodney Hood injured (played 12 minutes)
201469-59#18NRRandleSword
201574-56#1NRLylesThomas
201788-81NRNRFoxPeters
201971-67#5NRWashingtonPeters
202178-73 (2 OT)NRNRAllenStewartState led by 9 in the 2nd half
202371-68NRNRTshiebweSmith
202491-89#16NRSheppardHubbardState led by 13 in the 2nd half
2025#6#14
Alternate timeline: Rodney Hood isn't injured vs. Kentucky in 2012, one more win against the #1 team in the country gets State into the NCAA tourney, Stansbury survives at least one more year, Rick Ray never happens.
 

onewoof

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Mar 4, 2008
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I know it's a neutral site and all, but this comes to mind:

2007 SEC tournament - Mississippi State 84, Kentucky 82
Jamont Gordon drives the length of the court and drains a 3 to send it to OT where we go on to win.
1000008992.jpg
 
Oct 5, 2024
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Just don’t put that dagger in my heart Saturday night! And please the crowd that will be there stand up get loud. I mean go bat poop crazy! Let the referees know we are not going to put up with the blue bias!
 

DawgatAuburn

Well-known member
Apr 25, 2006
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I know it's a neutral site and all, but this comes to mind:

2007 SEC tournament - Mississippi State 84, Kentucky 82

UK up 76-73 at the line needing one free throw to ice the game and refs call a lane violation giving us the ball. Jamont Gordon drives the length of the court and drains a 3 to send it to OT where we go on to win.
I was there! Could not believe we got THAT call, against THAT team, in THAT situation and then to top it off they didn’t foul JaMoney before the shot. The video of that sequence is hilarious with Donna Smith about to crawl under the bleachers.
 
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maroonmania

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Feb 23, 2008
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One from the archives but does anyone remember in 1989 when we beat KY at the Hump 68-67 when Todd Merritt hit a 3 pointer out of the corner with only a couple of seconds left to give us the win? I was at that game and its one that I think about for some positive memories playing Kentucky at a time when Williams was trying to pull our basketball program out of the cellar after some very lean years. Was a huge win at the time for us.
 

JackShephard

Active member
Sep 27, 2011
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We last beat Kentucky in Starkville in 2008.

The games since then:
yearscoreKentucky rankState rankKentucky leading scorerState leading scorernotes
201081-75 (OT)#2NRCousinsBostState led by 7 with 3 min to go in regulation, didn't score again until 3:33 to go in OT
201273-64#1NRKidd-GilchristBostState lead 41-28 at half; Rodney Hood injured (played 12 minutes)
201469-59#18NRRandleSword
201574-56#1NRLylesThomas
201788-81NRNRFoxPeters
201971-67#5NRWashingtonPeters
202178-73 (2 OT)NRNRAllenStewartState led by 9 in the 2nd half
202371-68NRNRTshiebweSmith
202491-89#16NRSheppardHubbardState led by 13 in the 2nd half
2025#6#14
Yeah, it's a theme for us to get fairly decent leads on them, only to watch them evaporate late. Several OT losses in there. Many of these games have come down to our poor FT shooting late in the game. That's what scares me. If we get out in front Saturday, we need to push it out as big as possible and not let them back in like we did against Vandy.

If we screw around and let it turn into a FT shooting contest, then we likely lose.
 

JackShephard

Active member
Sep 27, 2011
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One from the archives but does anyone remember in 1989 when we beat KY at the Hump 68-67 when Todd Merritt hit a 3 pointer out of the corner with only a couple of seconds left to give us the win? I was at that game and its one that I think about for some positive memories playing Kentucky at a time when Williams was trying to pull our basketball program out of the cellar after some very lean years. Was a huge win at the time for us.
No, but I was in the Hump for the Mario Austin 3 pointer. If you look real close at the footage, I'm right behind the goal doing the Farmer Fran while it's in the air.
 

17itdawg

Well-known member
Sep 30, 2022
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We last beat Kentucky in Starkville in 2008.

The games since then:
yearscoreKentucky rankState rankKentucky leading scorerState leading scorernotes
201081-75 (OT)#2NRCousinsBostState led by 7 with 3 min to go in regulation, didn't score again until 3:33 to go in OT
201273-64#1NRKidd-GilchristBostState lead 41-28 at half; Rodney Hood injured (played 12 minutes)
201469-59#18NRRandleSword
201574-56#1NRLylesThomas
201788-81NRNRFoxPeters
201971-67#5NRWashingtonPeters
202178-73 (2 OT)NRNRAllenStewartState led by 9 in the 2nd half
202371-68NRNRTshiebweSmith
202491-89#16NRSheppardHubbardState led by 13 in the 2nd half
2025#6#14
Those two OT losses in 2010 to those blue 17ers might be the most pissed off I've ever been over a State sporting event.
 

bolddogge

Well-known member
Aug 23, 2012
661
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I was in Rupp when we beat UK in 1995 - I was one of the few in maroon that night that wasn't on the bench. If looks could kill, I'd have died thousands of times that night. Don't get me wrong. I love to win, but those folks take this stuff waaaaay too seriously.
 

MSUDC11-2.0

Well-known member
Sep 29, 2022
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We won three in a row against them from 2007-2009. Then they hired Calipari and we only beat him once in a random SEC tourney game that almost nobody remembers because we were an NIT team and Kentucky was sub .500 overall.

If you ask their fans, their biggest problem this year is physicality. I think it will be important that we dictate the tempo and make them uncomfortable.
 

PapaDawg

Active member
Nov 19, 2014
610
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No, but I was in the Hump for the Mario Austin 3 pointer. If you look real close at the footage, I'm right behind the goal doing the Farmer Fran while it's in the air.
I was at the Hump also. I was behind the other goal. Great game
 

BulldogBlitz

Well-known member
Dec 11, 2008
11,307
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I was in Rupp when we beat UK in 1995 - I was one of the few in maroon that night that wasn't on the bench. If looks could kill, I'd have died thousands of times that night. Don't get me wrong. I love to win, but those folks take this stuff waaaaay too seriously.


That's what makes a trip to the sec tourney fun. Kentucky nor making the championship makes for cheap tix.
 
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pseudonym

Well-known member
Oct 6, 2022
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We last beat Kentucky in Starkville in 2008.

The games since then:
yearscoreKentucky rankState rankKentucky leading scorerState leading scorernotes
201081-75 (OT)#2NRCousinsBostState led by 7 with 3 min to go in regulation, didn't score again until 3:33 to go in OT
201273-64#1NRKidd-GilchristBostState lead 41-28 at half; Rodney Hood injured (played 12 minutes)
201469-59#18NRRandleSword
201574-56#1NRLylesThomas
201788-81NRNRFoxPeters
201971-67#5NRWashingtonPeters
202178-73 (2 OT)NRNRAllenStewartState led by 9 in the 2nd half
202371-68NRNRTshiebweSmith
202491-89#16NRSheppardHubbardState led by 13 in the 2nd half
2025#6#14

yearscoreKentucky rankState rankKentucky leading scorerState leading scorernotes
201081-75 (OT)#2NRCousinsBostState led by 7 with 3 min to go in regulation, didn't score again until 3:33 to go in OT
201273-64#1NRKidd-GilchristBostState lead 41-28 at half; Rodney Hood injured (played 12 minutes)
201469-59#18NRRandleSword
201574-56#1NRLylesThomas
201788-81NRNRFoxPeters
201971-67#5NRWashingtonPeters
202178-73 (2 OT)NRNRAllenStewartState led by 9 in the 2nd half
202371-68NRNRTshiebweSmith
202491-89#16NRSheppardHubbardState led by 13 in the 2nd half
202595-90#6#14RobinsonMatthews

10 straight home losses to Kentucky...
 
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