Let's throw a (Jaxson) dart at the 12 team playoffs

[DawgatAuburn]

Four highest ranked conference champions are seeded 1-4 with the other champion (presumably the G5 winner) in as an auto bid but not with a bye in the bracket. Regular season rematches are possible and not avoided (unless you think the committee would monkey with the rankings to avoid it).




Upper left I'll to with Tennessee vs Florida State in the 8/9 game, winner gets Ohio State (1 seed)
Bottom left, Oregon vs Liberty in the 5/12 game, winner gets Kansas State (4)

Upper right 7/10 game I will take Notre Dame vs Penn State, winner gets Georgia (2)
Bottom right 6/11, Bama vs Utah, winner gets Clemson (3)

Second round
Tennessee
Ohio State

Oregon
KState

Penn State
Georgia

Utah
Clemson

Semis
Ohio State
Oregon

Georgia
Clemson

Finals
Georgia beats Ohio State

Close but no cigar: Ole Miss, Texas, Memphis

 

[MedDawg]

Four highest ranked conference champions are seeded 1-4 with the other champion (presumably the G5 winner) in as an auto bid but not with a bye in the bracket. Regular season rematches are possible and not avoided (unless you think the committee would monkey with the rankings to avoid it).


View attachment 631409

Upper left I'll to with Tennessee vs Florida State in the 8/9 game, winner gets Ohio State (1 seed)
Bottom left, Oregon vs Liberty in the 5/12 game, winner gets Kansas State (4)

Upper right 7/10 game I will take Notre Dame vs Penn State, winner gets Georgia (2)
Bottom right 6/11, Bama vs Utah, winner gets Clemson (3)

Second round
Tennessee
Ohio State

Oregon
KState

Penn State
Georgia

Utah
Clemson

Semis
Ohio State
Oregon

Georgia
Clemson

Finals
Georgia beats Ohio State

Close but no cigar: Ole Miss, Texas, Memphis

I think Bama beats Clemson, but who knows. Neither beats Georgia.

 

[patdog]

No way ACC and Big 12 get 4 teams in. SEC will get 4-5 teams. Big 10 3-4. ACC & Big 12 1 each. Last year would have been 5 Big 10, 4 SEC, 1 each ACC, Big 12 and G5, with Mississippi the highest ranked team left out, followed by Oklahoma and LSU.

 

[HuntDawg]

No way ACC and Big 12 get 4 teams in. SEC will get 4-5 teams. Big 10 3-4. ACC & Big 12 1 each. Last year would have been 5 Big 10, 4 SEC, 1 each ACC, Big 12 and G5, with Mississippi the highest ranked team left out.

agree after you get the 5 autos

gotta think at least 3 more SEC and at least 2 more big 10 (probably 3)

That is 10 of the 12.. low balling it....

 

[greenbean.sixpack]

OM only has one for sure loss, UGA. They only play two other teams with a pulse, LSU and OU. They play in BR and the corndogs are coming off an open date, so that one will be tricky. Their floor is 9 and ceiling is 11. Lose two and they may still make the playoffs.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

1. Texas
2. Oregon
3. Utah
4. Miami
5. Georgia
6. LSU
7. Ohio State
8. Notre Dame
9. Tennessee
10. Penn State
11. Kansas State
12. Liberty

I think it’s gonna take some real luck for the SEC to get more than 4 in. I think those four are UT, UGA, LSU, and the other UT.

I have 12-0 Texas and 12-0 LSU playing for the SEC title. I love the schedules for both and think it’s conducive to this.

I have Georgia going 11-1 (loss at Texas) but winning the national title as the 5 seed over Oregon in the finals.

 

[patdog]

agree after you get the 5 autos

gotta think at least 3 more SEC and at least 2 more big 10 (probably 3)

That is 10 of the 12.. low balling it....

I think most years SEC/Big will get 8 or 9 of the 12 playoff teams, with 3 automatic bids for ACC, Big 12 and G5. It's gonna be real hard for the #2 team in any of those three to make the playoff. Possibly if a FSU goes undefeated but loses a close ACC title game. But that's really the only way. Or if Notre Dame goes 11-1.

 

[DawgatAuburn]

No way ACC and Big 12 get 4 teams in. SEC will get 4-5 teams. Big 10 3-4. ACC & Big 12 1 each. Last year would have been 5 Big 10, 4 SEC, 1 each ACC, Big 12 and G5, with Mississippi the highest ranked team left out, followed by Oklahoma and LSU.

Pat...Pat Pat Pat.... You are overlooking one key thing. I don't like Ole Miss or Texas, so I am not including them in my hypothetical bracket. That's bracketing projection principles 101.

In reality, the Big 12 may likely only be worthy of one bid, but I'm going with the theory that Utah will be the best team only to be upset by K State in the championship game, and the Utes still slide in at the expense of Ole Miss. And I will go with Clemson and FSU being strong enough to merit a two bid ACC, keeping Texas out.

 

[HuntDawg]

1. UGA
2. Oregon
3. Clemson
4. Utah

5. Ohio State
6. Texas
7. Alabama
8. Ole Miss
9. Notre Dame
10. Penn State
11. Florida State
12. Liberty


Texas, Bama, UGA, OSU final 4-- UGA winning it

 

[patdog]

Pat...Pat Pat Pat.... You are overlooking one key thing. I don't like Ole Miss or Texas, so I am not including them in my hypothetical bracket. That's bracketing projection principles 101.

In reality, the Big 12 may likely only be worthy of one bid, but I'm going with the theory that Utah will be the best team only to be upset by K State in the championship game, and the Utes still slide in at the expense of Ole Miss. And I will go with Clemson and FSU being strong enough to merit a two bid ACC, keeping Texas out.

Preseason, that's as good a reason to keep those two out as any other.

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

OM only has one for sure loss, UGA. They only play two other teams with a pulse, LSU and OU. They play in BR and the corndogs are coming off an open date, so that one will be tricky. Their floor is 9 and ceiling is 11. Lose two and they may still make the playoffs.

Ole Miss might not get in at 10-2 because the schedule is so bad. I think that Georgia, Bama, or Ohio State might get in at 9-3 over a 10-2 Ole Miss just because of schedule strength. Georgia & Bama both have much tougher SEC schedules than Ole Miss plus Georgia play Clemson & Bama plays Wisconsin OOC.

I think the SEC gets 4 teams, the Big 10 either 3 or 4, the ACC 1 maybe 2, Big 12 gets 1, plus a Group of 5, and don't forget Notre Dame.

 

[pseudonym]

Ole Miss might not get in at 10-2 because the schedule is so bad. I think that Georgia, Bama, or Ohio State might get in at 9-3 over a 10-2 Ole Miss just because of schedule strength. Georgia & Bama both have much tougher SEC schedules than Ole Miss plus Georgia play Clemson & Bama plays Wisconsin OOC.

I think the SEC gets 4 teams, the Big 10 either 3 or 4, the ACC 1 maybe 2, Big 12 gets 1, plus a Group of 5, and don't forget Notre Dame.

I think any 10-2 SEC team is getting in over any 9-3 team.

A 10-2 Ole Miss team has to worry about other 10+ win teams in the SEC and the Big Ten with more impressive wins. They would also have to worry about bid stealers like Notre Dame and potential ACC/Big 12 championship game upsets.

 

[patdog]

I think any 10-2 SEC team is getting in over any 9-3 team.

A 10-2 Ole Miss team has to worry about other 10+ win teams in the SEC and the Big Ten with more impressive wins. They would also have to worry about bid stealers like Notre Dame and potential ACC/Big 12 championship game upsets.

I think it's going to be very hard for any 9-3 team to make the playoffs as an at-large bid. Same for an ACC/Big 12 championship game loser, or Notre Dame. It's gonna be real hard for a 2-loss team outside the SEC or Big 10 getting an at-large bid.

 

[Dawgg]

I think Ole Miss is going to lose to Georgia, LSU, and Oklahoma and I think they're going to 17 up against either us, Kentucky, or Florida. They're going to be the most talented 8-4 team in the country.

 

[pseudonym]

I think it's going to be very hard for any 9-3 team to make the playoffs as an at-large bid. Same for an ACC/Big 12 championship game loser, or Notre Dame. It's gonna be real hard for a 2-loss team outside the SEC or Big 10 getting an at-large bid.

It will be really interesting to see how many SEC/Big Ten teams are in the CFP. The two extremes:

• 9 teams: This is the maximum allowed by rule. Notre Dame doesn't win enough games, and the ACC and Big 12 are both 1-bid leagues.
• 6 teams: I see this as the minimum. Notre Dame has 10+ wins. The ACC and Big 12 have two teams each, whether due to championship game upsets or not.

The 10-2 SEC team with a weaker schedule is hoping for a scenario closer to the former.

 

[patdog]

It will be really interesting to see how many SEC/Big Ten teams are in the CFP. The two extremes:

• 9 teams: This is the maximum allowed by rule. Notre Dame doesn't win enough games, and the ACC and Big 12 are both 1-bid leagues.
• 6 teams: I see this as the minimum. Notre Dame has 10+ wins. The ACC and Big 12 have two teams each, whether due to championship game upsets or not.

The 10-2 SEC team with a weaker schedule is hoping for a scenario closer to the former.

I think 8 will be the norm +/- 1.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

Keep in mind we’re only staying at 12 teams for two years. It expands to 14 in 2026. At that point I think 10-2 is just about a lock for anyone in the P5.

I’m also curious if they stick with this G5 auto bid once they see the inevitable result of a 5 vs 12 game between someone like Ohio State and Memphis in Columbus.

 

[pseudonym]

Keep in mind we’re only staying at 12 teams for two years. It expands to 14 in 2026. At that point I think 10-2 is just about a lock for anyone in the P5.

I’m also curious if they stick with this G5 auto bid once they see the inevitable result of a 5 vs 12 game between someone like Ohio State and Memphis in Columbus.

My proposal:

• 24 teams
• 9 conference auto-bids
• 8 byes (You don't have to be an auto-bid to be a top-8 seed.)
• 2 rounds on campus (Top-16 teams would host one CFP game.)

Example from 2018: #18 Mississippi State @ #15 Texas, winner goes to #2 Clemson

We're gonna get there eventually (if college football survives long enough). Why wait?

 

[DerHntr]

A 10-2 OM team with a loss to 6-6 MSU will not get into the playoffs. The Mississippi sports gods will not allow anyone to get too high in football and will move their sorry as*es back to the mean. MSU will go into the post season with momentum while Oxford looks for a new coach because the Lane Train takes a more lucrative job. The icing on the cake would be Arnett helping coach OM to a bowl game loss.

With 10-3 OM and 7-6 MSU teams, the hate will flow freely.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

My proposal:

• 24 teams
• 9 conference auto-bids
• 8 byes (You don't have to be an auto-bid to be a top-8 seed.)
• 2 rounds on campus (Top-16 teams would host one CFP game.)

Example from 2018: #18 Mississippi State @ #15 Texas, winner goes to #2 Clemson

We're gonna get there eventually (if college football survives long enough). Why wait?

I do find it weird in the current model that the 5 thru 8 seeds get a game on their home campus but the 1 thru 4 seeds do not. I realize the Top 4 seeds get one fewer game but still.