Really answering Perd. So you are saying an official scorer can assume a runner will be thrown out? What percentage must it be? 80%? 50%? 30%? So if he throws it and it is a bang bang play and the ball bounces and short hops the shortstop and he can't hold on to it that it is an error? If the runner never stops and tries for a double and makes it, it should be a double.
I don’t see how its any different than any other play where the scorer has to decide. Say that the throw came into 2nd and it was ahead of Lindor, but was not fielded cleanly, and it becomes a close play where he gets in just ahead of the tag. Is it a double, or a single plus an error?
Say Lindor hits a soft dribbler to SS. He bobbles it a bit but eventually gets it to first. It’s way late, but would have probably been late even if it was cleanly played. Single or an error?
Scorer’s have to decide things based off nothing but snap judgments all the time. And since they are always fairly hypothetical, they can never be 100% wrong or 100% right. At the end of the day, it doesn’t really matter, nothing changes in the end.
And the announcer assumed it was a double so it being a single 100% of the time is out the window.
The announcer said that because he was standing on 2nd base when the play was over, and there was no error. It was a premature call from him, albeit a reasonable assumption to make. I’ve heard plenty of times announcers instead say “let’s see how they score it” before commenting.
And what I said regarding the “100% of the time” is if you just stopped watching when the outfielder got to the ball. He was well off the line and way in front of the wall. He was not fielding that ball in an area of the field that you normally see extra base hits get picked up by the OF. Therefore, its pretty reasonable to assume that a good throw to 2nd base would result in an out if that is where he went with the ball right away. But a lot of it depends on what the clip does not show, which is where was Lindor when the ball was fielded?
And it might matter for a bonus. I would have protested it.
Is there a way to do such a thing?