MBB SEC standing

[Gamekem]

I found this website with odds as it relates to our SEC standing. It looks as though at least 3 more wins is the sweet spot to get a double bye for the SEC tournament.

South Carolina Gamecocks What If?

The South Carolina What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how South Carolina plays future conference games.

www.playoffstatus.com

 

[Gamekem]

Another chart to look into as well.

 

[BigJC]

Somebody has way too much time on their hands to come up with all of that.

 

[Gamekem]

Somebody has way too much time on their hands to come up with all of that.

Pretty sure they just use a computer simulation with all the possibilities. I doubt it took that long.

 

[Deleted11512]

We have a better conf record than everyone left on our schedule. I think there's a good chance we finish 14-4. Bama still has to play @uk, @OM and UT at home. Need them to lose 3 if we finish 14-4. Would need AU to lose two more. They still have UK & @UT. Even if we win out we still need some help. But it's bananas that we're even able to have this convo in mid Feb.

LSU (4-7)
@ OM (5-6...my how they have fallen)
@ A&M (6-5)
UF (7-4)
UT (8-3)
@ MSU (5-6)

 

[HuntinAces]

Both Bama and us have UT and UF at home. Both play Ole Miss on the road.

they play A&M at home while we play them on the road.

The other 2 games is we have LSU at home and MSU on the road.

Auburn has the easiest schedule and probably should be considered favorites at this point

Whereas they have UK and UF on the road.

prefer our schedule over theirs

 

[RUMMENIGGE]

Need the middle of pack teams (Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana State, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Texas AM) to start knocking each other off to give South Carolina some cushion to remain in the top four spot

 

[Evilchicken]

Lol. We laid such an egg at Auburn (40 point slaughter) that I’m not sure we even need to be having this discussion. That beat down left a massive crater of embarrassment.

 

[Fried Chicken]

Lol. We laid such an egg at Auburn (40 point slaughter) that I’m not sure we even need to be having this discussion. That beat down left a massive crater of embarrassment.

Believe it or not that 40 point loss only counts for 1 loss on the season.

Fact is, they determine the SEC Standings based on records and not by points. We ran off a 9-game winning streak that included a win on the road against the #5 ranked team in the country. Auburn, who beat us by 40 Wednesday, suffered an embarrassing beat down of their own in Gainesville just this past Saturday. It sucks to lose by 40. But it only impacts our record the same as if we lost by 1 at the buzzer. We’re still in good position.

 

[kidrobinski]

Lol. We laid such an egg at Auburn (40 point slaughter) that I’m not sure we even need to be having this discussion. That beat down left a massive crater of embarrassment.

Don’t know about that; maybe for the weak minded. It sure exposed the fretful lasses though.

 

[USCEE82]

I guess we'll see today the effect, if any, that arse-whupping had on our guys confidence.

 

[Uscg1984]

Don’t know about that; maybe for the weak minded. It sure exposed the fretful lasses though.

Unfortunately, I think it exposed a bit more than that.

 

[BftCocks09]

I certainly hope I’m wrong, but I think a lot of us see the writing on the wall. This last stretch of games has the makings of one of the most brutal endings to a season in recent memory after showing so much promise.

 

[ToddFlanders]

I certainly hope I’m wrong, but I think a lot of us see the writing on the wall. This last stretch of games has the makings of one of the most brutal endings to a season in recent memory after showing so much promise.

It's a brutal stretch for sure, but fortunately there are no more potential bad losses in there (all teams are above them in the NET). If they get one of the 5 (and win at least one in the SEC tourney), I think they're "Last 4 in" - but lose all 5, and they'd definitely be out.

Because of the weak OOC schedule, they are sitting at a 57 NET right now. That's not good for a team that is 21-5. So my assessment could be overly optimistic.

 

[Deleted11512]

It's a brutal stretch for sure, but fortunately there are no more potential bad losses in there (all teams are above them in the NET). If they get one of the 5 (and win at least one in the SEC tourney), I think they're "Last 4 in" - but lose all 5, and they'd definitely be out.

Because of the weak OOC schedule, they are sitting at a 57 NET right now. That's not good for a team that is 21-5. So my assessment could be overly optimistic.

The net is only one piece of the resume. The SEC is widely considered to be top 2 or 3 conferences in the county. And we’re sitting tied for 3rd right now. Obviously if we lose out it’s a problem. Win 2 and there’s nothing to worry about. I think that’s more than doable.

 

[ToddFlanders]

The net is only one piece of the resume. The SEC is widely considered to be top 2 or 3 conferences in the county. And we’re sitting tied for 3rd right now. Obviously if we lose out it’s a problem. Win 2 and there’s nothing to worry about. I think that’s more than doable.

I think you're probably right, especially with the strength of schedule down the stretch. The SEC will definitely get the benefit of the doubt on selection sunday, but there are some mid-major conferences (specifically the MWC and MVC) that will be getting bids that would typically go to high-major teams because of their NET numbers.

But again, with the teams on the schedule - wins should be in Quad 1. So each one will go a long way in securing a bid.

 

[Deleted11512]

I think you're probably right, especially with the strength of schedule down the stretch. The SEC will definitely get the benefit of the doubt on selection sunday, but there are some mid-major conferences (specifically the MWC and MVC) that will be getting bids that would typically go to high-major teams because of their NET numbers.

But again, with the teams on the schedule - wins should be in Quad 1. So each one will go a long way in securing a bid.

Agree. I don't worry too much about the noncon. We won them all except one, and that L didn't hurt us. If the SEC were weak then it would be an issue. That's what happened to the 15-16 team. The SEC was weak, and the noncon sucked. The SEC only got 3 in that year. Lunardi currently has 9 SEC teams in the tourny, tied for most with the B12. That was prior to this weekend. He updates each Tuesday and Friday. It will be interesting to see where he has us. We were a 6 seed going in.

 

[StillH8FATBRAD]

Let's just win 2 more in the regular season

 

[Deleted11512]

All of our remaining games are Quad 1. Screw the net. It's irrelevant at this point. We're currently 7-3 in Q1/2. Finish 2-3 and that puts us at 9-6, with no Q4 losses and 6-2 in Q3.

 

[Tngamecock]

The uga and lsu home losses still bug me. I want this team to do well for their sake and mine

They need to get back to distributing the ball and away from all the individual dribbling. You can see us sliding that way but easily fixable.

It sure beats the excitement (lack of) from most of Frank’s years.

 

[Deleted11512]

The uga and lsu home losses still bug me. I want this team to do well for their sake and mine

They need to get back to distributing the ball and away from all the individual dibbling. You can see us sliding that way but easily fixable.

It sure beats the excitement (lack of) from most of Frank’s years.

Agree. It's late Feb and we're mathematically still alive for the SEC regular season championship...in a year where the SEC is predicted to get 9 in the tourny. The latest Bracketology has us in as a #7 seed in the Arizona bracket.

Men's Bracketology: Does Duke have a straight shot to the No. 1 overall seed?

The Blue Devils have the talent -- and the schedule -- to make the selection committee's job easy.

www.espn.com

 

[RUMMENIGGE]

Last few days has been good for South Carolina. Florida, Kentucky loss yesterday to give South Carolina a one game cushion between those two teams and Texas AM was beaten Tuesday night and Mississippi last night to keep them at bay from climbing closer to South Carolina. The only negative is Mississippi State is winning.

 

[Gamekem]

Last few days has been good for South Carolina. Florida, Kentucky loss yesterday to give South Carolina a one game cushion between those two teams and Texas AM was beaten Tuesday night and Mississippi last night to keep them at bay from climbing closer to South Carolina. The only negative is Mississippi State is winning.

We already have the tiebreaker advantage on Kentucky. But we can kill 2 birds if we can get wins on other teams near us in standings, which ironically includes everyone else on our schedule. It'll be tough but we can control our destiny.