Most confident OVER

pseudonym

Well-known member
Oct 6, 2022
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teamover/under win total
Georgia11.5
Alabama10.5
LSU9.5
Tennessee9
Ole Miss7.5
Texas A&M7.5
Kentucky6.5
Arkansas6.5
Missouri6.5
Auburn6.5
Mississippi State6
South Carolina6
Florida5.5
Vanderbilt3.5

If you had to bet $10k on an SEC win total OVER, which team are you choosing?

Give me Florida OVER 5.5.

Not financial advice.
 

Dawgg

Well-known member
Sep 9, 2012
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Florida's schedule is:
@ Utah
vs McNeese
vs Tennessee
vs Charlotte
@ Kentucky
vs Vanderbilt
@ South Carolina
vs Georgia
vs Arkansas
@ LSU
@ Missouri
vs Florida State

Almost sure wins I see:
McNeese, Charlotte, Vanderbilt

Almost sure losses I see:
Utah, Tennessee, Georgia, LSU

So they'd need 3 of these:
Kentucky, South Carolina, Arkansas, Missouri, Florida State

I mean... they'd have to really mess up to go 2-3 against that toss-up line-up.
 

pseudonym

Well-known member
Oct 6, 2022
2,472
3,524
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Florida's schedule is:
@ Utah
vs McNeese
vs Tennessee
vs Charlotte
@ Kentucky
vs Vanderbilt
@ South Carolina
vs Georgia
vs Arkansas
@ LSU
@ Missouri
vs Florida State

Almost sure wins I see:
McNeese, Charlotte, Vanderbilt

Almost sure losses I see:
Utah, Tennessee, Georgia, LSU

So they'd need 3 of these:
Kentucky, South Carolina, Arkansas, Missouri, Florida State

I mean... they'd have to really mess up to go 2-3 against that toss-up line-up.
And I think Tennessee at Florida is a toss-up.
 
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columbiadawg2

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Feb 2, 2010
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Ole Miss of course, have you seen their QB room? Best in the country.

But really I like Florida and Vandy to go over. Florida for the reasons mentioned above by Dawgg. Vandy is beating Hawaii, Alabama A&M and UNLV. They would then have to catch one other team to hit 4. Is that UK or Mizzou on a sleepy September Saturday or do they upset OM, Auburn or USCe after one of their seasons is derailed? Either way I see 4 w's.

I think my most confident Under bet would be Mizzou. They could lose to every team on that schedule including South Dakota.
 

Dawgg

Well-known member
Sep 9, 2012
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And I think Tennessee at Florida is a toss-up.
Yeah, after I hit 'Post Reply', I noticed that game was at Florida and it's only week 3. Florida will have already played a tough team in Utah, but Tennessee will have played Virginia and Austin Peay. I think you're right. That game could be closer than I originally thought.
 

patdog

Well-known member
May 28, 2007
48,297
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Florida's schedule is:
@ Utah
vs McNeese
vs Tennessee
vs Charlotte
@ Kentucky
vs Vanderbilt
@ South Carolina
vs Georgia
vs Arkansas
@ LSU
@ Missouri
vs Florida State

Almost sure wins I see:
McNeese, Charlotte, Vanderbilt

Almost sure losses I see:
Utah, Tennessee, Georgia, LSU

So they'd need 3 of these:
Kentucky, South Carolina, Arkansas, Missouri, Florida State

I mean... they'd have to really mess up to go 2-3 against that toss-up line-up.
I think you can move FSU to the loss list. And leave Tennessee in that list too. Doesn't matter that game is in Gainesville, Tennessee is simply the better team.
 
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ChE1997

Active member
Feb 14, 2023
506
354
63
Florida's schedule is:
@ Utah
vs McNeese
vs Tennessee
vs Charlotte
@ Kentucky
vs Vanderbilt
@ South Carolina
vs Georgia
vs Arkansas
@ LSU
@ Missouri
vs Florida State

Almost sure wins I see:
McNeese, Charlotte, Vanderbilt

Almost sure losses I see:
Utah, Tennessee, Georgia, LSU

So they'd need 3 of these:
Kentucky, South Carolina, Arkansas, Missouri, Florida State

I mean... they'd have to really mess up to go 2-3 against that toss-up line-up.
I think Florida will have fired Napier and will be courting Kiffin by week 9.

Metrz was bad at Wisconsin

Kentucky has won the past 2 vs UF, and I think USC and FSU get them as well
 

MSUDC11-2.0

Well-known member
Sep 29, 2022
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Vandy. They won 5 last year and have a realistic path to bowl eligibility this season.
 

DoggieDaddy13

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Dec 23, 2017
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The answer IS the Maroon Bulldogs. Experienced team. Great coaching staff. We're going to win at least 8 games, probably 9, I say 10.
 
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