My first week 7-point teaser list. what do you think??

usmsci

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Feb 26, 2008
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here are my 7 point teaser picks for the first week. note that the spreads listed are after the tease. anything stand out or what might be the worst and best pick out of these??

UTEP @ Buffalo -> UTEP +10
Vandy @ Miami-OH -> Vandy +10
Wake Forest @ Baylor -> Wake Forest -5.5
Virginia Tech @ East Carolina -> Virginia Tech -3
Louisiana Lafayette @ Southern Miss -> USM -3.5
Tulsa @ UAB -> Tulsa -7
Tennessee @ UCLA -> Tennessee 0
Utah @ Michigan -> Michigan +3.5
Miss. State @ Louisana Tech -> Miss. State -1.5
Memphis @ Ole Miss -> Ole Miss -1.5
Boston College @ Kent -> Boston College -2.5
SMU @ Rice -> SMU +10
 

rdhdawg

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Jul 27, 2008
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Stay away from Vandy, Tenn., and Southern Miss.

Wake Forest is pretty solid.
State is solid.
BC is solid.
OM is solid.

You sure Michigan is right at +3?

I'd do a three game parley with State, BC, and OM.
1) State will pound the ball = control clock. LaTech will likely be playing from behind and they can't pass on us.
2) BC had the best run defense in the country last year. It got better. Kent may not score 2.5 points.
3) OM always plays Memphis close, but I think 1.5 is comfortable at home for Snead's coming out party.

If you gamble on games, get them in the first 3 to 4 weeks. After that, the odds makers can nail these things.
 

patdog

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May 28, 2007
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Not that it's any of my business, but you might want to consider getting some help for your gambling problem. Just sayin.
 

usmsci

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Feb 26, 2008
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rdhdawg said:
Stay away from Vandy, Tenn., and Southern Miss.

Wake Forest is pretty solid.
State is solid.
BC is solid.
OM is solid.

You sure Michigan is right at +3?

I'd do a three game parley with State, BC, and OM.
1) State will pound the ball = control clock. LaTech will likely be playing from behind and they can't pass on us.
2) BC had the best run defense in the country last year. It got better. Kent may not score 2.5 points.
3) OM always plays Memphis close, but I think 1.5 is comfortable at home for Snead's coming out party.

If you gamble on games, get them in the first 3 to 4 weeks. After that, the odds makers can nail these things.

well the reason i went for TN is that UCLA was horrible last year. they lost their starting D man and now they are down to their 3rd string QB while TN brings back a litany of returning starters. Michigan right now is a 3.5 favorite playing Utah at home. (i know crazy huh?) so with the tease it brings you to +3.5
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usmsci

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Feb 26, 2008
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patdog said:
Not that it's any of my business, but you might want to consider getting some help for your gambling problem. Just sayin.

UTEP might be bad but Buffalo is horrible. I am not sure who is going to be worse this year. Buffalo or UAB. Tulsa might beat them by 30.
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Feb 24, 2008
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Utah will beat Michigan by a TD. Count on it, and look for them to run the table. Utah and BYU will both be in the Top 15 at the end of the season.

Also, I would be more inclined to take LA Tech and get the 15-. I don't think they have a shot in hell to win, but they will keep it close. I don't think they have to score but 7 to cover 15-. Of course, I am a huge proponent of home dogs and getting more points, though.
 

ShrubDog

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Apr 13, 2008
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I usually tease underdogs up. If you are going to tease a favorite down make sure you can push it passed 3pts. I see no reason to even tease some of them at all. But I like State and Ole Miss for sure.

FYI - Wake ATS is 0 - 8 as non-conference favs of 3 or more. The last time the Demon Deacons covered a double digit spread as a favorite was against Duke back in 2005, in this case the spread is 12.5. I would tease Baylor up, but I wouldn't touch this game....many better ones.
 

usmsci

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Feb 26, 2008
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ShrubDog said:
I usually tease underdogs up. If you are going to tease a favorite down make sure you can push it passed 3pts. I see no reason to even tease some of them at all. But I like State and Ole Miss for sure.

FYI - Wake ATS is 0 - 8 as non-conference favs of 3 or more. The last time the Demon Deacons covered a double digit spread as a favorite was against Duke back in 2005, in this case the spread is 12.5. I would tease Baylor up, but I wouldn't touch this game....many better ones.
which ones look good to you? and i agree about Wake, thats why i liked the 7 pt tease down to -5.5.
 

ShrubDog

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Apr 13, 2008
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I usually dont play over 4 college games a weekend but will bold the best as of now.

Ones in Bold:

UTEP @ Buffalo -> UTEP +10
Vandy @ Miami-OH -> Vandy +10
Wake Forest @ Baylor -> Wake Forest -5.5
Virginia Tech @ East Carolina -> Virginia Tech -3
Louisiana Lafayette @ Southern Miss -> USM -3.5
Tulsa @ UAB -> Tulsa -7 NO NEED TO TEASE TULSA
Tennessee @ UCLA -> Tennessee 0
Utah @ Michigan -> Michigan +3.5
Miss. State @ Louisana Tech -> Miss. State -1.5
Memphis @ Ole Miss -> Ole Miss -1.5
Boston College @ Kent -> Boston College -2.5
SMU @ Rice -> SMU +10

Bama vs Clemson -5 (Expect line movement in Bama's favor)
Illinois @ Missouri -8.5
Michigam State @ Cali - 5
Colorado @ Colorada St. + 12
Memphis +8
@ Ole Miss
 

usmsci

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Feb 26, 2008
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ShrubDog said:
I usually dont play over 4 college games a weekend but will bold the best as of now.

Ones in Bold:

UTEP @ Buffalo -> UTEP +10
Vandy @ Miami-OH -> Vandy +10
Wake Forest @ Baylor -> Wake Forest -5.5
Virginia Tech @ East Carolina -> Virginia Tech -3
Louisiana Lafayette @ Southern Miss -> USM -3.5
Tulsa @ UAB -> Tulsa -7 NO NEED TO TEASE TULSA
Tennessee @ UCLA -> Tennessee 0
Utah @ Michigan -> Michigan +3.5
Miss. State @ Louisana Tech -> Miss. State -1.5
Memphis @ Ole Miss -> Ole Miss -1.5
Boston College @ Kent -> Boston College -2.5
SMU @ Rice -> SMU +10

Bama vs Clemson -5 (Expect line movement in Bama's favor)
Illinois @ Missouri -8.5
Michigam State @ Cali - 5
Colorado @ Colorada St. + 12
Memphis +8
@ Ole Miss
thanks for your personal picks. is vandy going to be THAT bad this year to not give them 10 points against Miami OH?
 
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