Winning or even getting to a Super Bowl isn’t necessary if you put up the numbers. Dak can certainly get in without one if he stays consistent.
Dak must have at least 1 or 2 first team all-pro seasons / MVP seasons. That’s the only way he gets in without a Super Bowl ring. Without those accolades, he needs multiple Super Bowl wins….not just one. It’s not impossible, but its going to be a tall order for him. At age 30, he’s never done any of those three things, which kind of puts him behind the 8-ball.
Couple of reference points:
1) Philip Rivers. Most consider him not HoF worthy. Rivers had 0 MVP’s, 0 First Team AP selections, 0 SB wins, 0 SB appearances, 8 Pro Bowl selections.
2) Matt Ryan. Again, not considered HoF material. Ryan actually won an MVP and was AP1 at QB that same year. Has a SB appearance. 4 Pro Bowls.
Dak’s 0-fer on everything but the Pro Bowl. He has 4 of those. He simply has a ways to go. It’s very, very difficult to make the HOF as a QB….as it should be. Only 21 QB’s in over 100 years of pro football have made it in. And knowing you have Brady, Mahomes, Rodgers, and Brees all as shoe-ins from his era is going to only make it that much more difficult for him.