SDS Coming in with a confidence booster***

[horshack.sixpack]

https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/m...-jeff-lebby-year-1-uphill-climb-anyone-sport/

 

[patdog]

Why did I bother to click that? I knew how terrible that site is. The most daunting job of any new coach? Really?

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

That was a decent piece. He does explain why we will go 3 - 9, or at least while the football world thinks we will. If we get anywhere close to .500, it's a success. The schedule is brutal, and he lays that out in detail. You can ignore it if you want to, but we have a tough hill to climb. That doesn't mean we can't. It is just going to be tough.

 

[patdog]

That was a decent piece. He does explain why we will go 3 - 9, or at least while the football world thinks we will. If we get anywhere close to .500, it's a success. The schedule is brutal, and he lays that out in detail. You can ignore it if you want to, but we have a tough hill to climb. That doesn't mean we can't. It is just going to be tough.

3-9 is a joke. Schedule is tough, but all 4 OOC games are very winnable, with 2 being slam dunk wins. Then we get struggling Florida and Arkansas programs both at home (and A&M is always prone to underperform and lose games they shouldn't). I'm probably about as negative towards our team as they come, but there's no freaking way we only win 3 games.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

3-9 is a joke. Schedule is tough, but all 4 OOC games are very winnable, with 2 being slam dunk wins. Then we get struggling Florida and Arkansas programs both at home (and A&M is always prone to underperform and lose games they shouldn't). I'm probably about as negative towards our team as they come, but there's no freaking way we only win 3 games.

I would agree with you, but we are starting all over. New everything... new staff, new players, new SEC teams. The only thing I do know that we don't play Alabama for change. I just don't have a lot of optimism for a big winning season.

 

[maroonmania]

3-9 is a joke. Schedule is tough, but all 4 OOC games are very winnable, with 2 being slam dunk wins. Then we get struggling Florida and Arkansas programs both at home (and A&M is always prone to underperform and lose games they shouldn't). I'm probably about as negative towards our team as they come, but there's no freaking way we only win 3 games.

If we actually go 3-9 next year, we made the wrong hire.

 

[greenbean.sixpack]

Vegas is very good at what they do. Setting our O/U at 4.5 is fair. I think we'll win 5, so I betting the over.

 

[L4Dawg]

I'd say 3-9 is a pretty realistic estimate.

 

[QuaoarsKing]

I'd say 3-9 is a pretty realistic estimate.

That would be 0-8 in the SEC and also losing to a horrible Arizona State team. I wouldn't call that realistic.

 

[patdog]

That would be 0-8 in the SEC and also losing to a horrible Arizona State team. I wouldn't call that realistic.

We've only had 1 winless season (and only 5 1-win seasons) in 33 years since the SEC added the 8th game in 1991. Is it possible we go 0-8? Sure. But it's a pretty damn safe bet we won't.

 

[maroonmania]

Saying we will only win 3 games means for the entire season only wins against Eastern KY, Toledo and UMass. THAT would be painful.

 

[QuaoarsKing]

The home game slate this year is pretty favorable. Arkansas and Florida are clearly winnable games, as both coaches are dead men walking. Who knows with A&M, but we have competed well with them for a decade. Missouri will probably beat us if they're a top 10 team again, but if they regress to the mean some, it's winnable.

The road slate is much harder; Texas, Georgia, Tennessee, and Ole Miss is most likely 0-4, but that's not a "for sure" bet. Both Tennessee and Texas constantly underachieve and lose to a less talented team on a near-annual basis. You never know with Egg Bowls.

So yes, it's possible we could go 0-8, but I think we're already favored in 2 home games and have a decent shot in several others.