Still too early to talk details, but next Wednesday and Thursday look to be active severe weather days.
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View attachment 308649
Severe Weather - Round 2
- Thread starter Hugh's Burner Phone
- Start date
I was just reading about that. It's far enough away not to get excited about yet, but they're using the wrong terms like "30% high risk areas" & "major severe weather outbreak". At first glance, I'm afraid it might be too large of an area to translate into large tornado event. That's what I'm hoping for right now anyway.
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Anybody saying outbreak and high risk right now needs to have their keyboard shoved where the sun refuses to shine. While a few parameters are looking good, there's nothing pointing this to be that high end of an event right now. Not saying it couldn't change, though. Once the mid range models come into play we'll have a better idea.
Well, that's what they were saying yesterday that's not what they're saying today. I've learned the hard way not to pay much attention to a couple of days before and not write anything in stone till the day before and that could change as well because after all, it's just wind, water, and temperature. If you live anywhere in the south, it can change 20° in one day.
All of our weather balloons are being shot down making an accurate forecast almost impossible.
Sorry haven't posted in a while, but been a little busy last few days culminating in my son losing situational awareness at baseball practice and taking a bat to the side of the head this morning. Fortunately, just a mild concussion.
Anyway, severe weather still looking likely starting off tomorrow night in the northwest delta and over into AR. Models have been tending up in intensity so wouldn't be surprised if we see an upgrade to an enhanced risk. Thursday the threat shifts to the rest of the state during the morning hours pushing out of the state around noon. There is a possibility Thursday is the worst of the event...especially over eastern MS and western AL as it coincides with peak daytime heating.
Anyway, severe weather still looking likely starting off tomorrow night in the northwest delta and over into AR. Models have been tending up in intensity so wouldn't be surprised if we see an upgrade to an enhanced risk. Thursday the threat shifts to the rest of the state during the morning hours pushing out of the state around noon. There is a possibility Thursday is the worst of the event...especially over eastern MS and western AL as it coincides with peak daytime heating.
The one changes its what it thinks it going to do so often that I named it after my wife. It appears it will cause issues on Wednesday and Thursday across parts of Mississippi
It really looks like a busy year.
It really looks like a busy year.
Updated graphics to show an upgrade today and tomorrow to an enhanced risk. Tornado threat has been upgraded to a 10% hatched indicating the chance of strong to violent tornadoes (EF2+).
Folks around the MS Delta in MS, AR, and, TN need to listen for weather alerts. Multiple day events are hard to predict especially this early in the year.
60% chance of a tornado watch being issued for a large section of the state. Area being considered goes from Natchez to Meridian, to Starkville to Memphis. Isolated supercells are possible and any that form carry a tornado risk.
The tornado risk for today has expanded with a 10% hatched area now encompassing most of eastern MS. The hatched designation means strong tornadoes (EF-2+) are possible. Severe storms should move into the hatched area between 11;00am and 1:00 today.
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