I'd be concerned about relying too much on a study counting on a country not doing something stupid. I think an analysis of Russia invading Ukraine would have concluded Putin would be stupid to do that.Following this discussion a couple weeks ago, I ran into this detailed study of an invasion and found it interesting. I haven't finished it yet, but I found it most interesting that they concluded China would not take preemptive action against the US because it would likely galvanize public opinion towards entering the fight.
I think any country would want to do more what Russia did in Crimea, vs what they are doing now.Following this discussion a couple weeks ago, I ran into this detailed study of an invasion and found it interesting. I haven't finished it yet, but I found it most interesting that they concluded China would not take preemptive action against the US because it would likely galvanize public opinion towards entering the fight.
I see no problem with those two crippled economies attacking each other.
The Bear and Dragon by Tom Clancy is about this exact thing and its a pretty fun read.
It's not "Red Storm Rising" but it is a good book.
He knows. Their military is a lot like the Russian military. It is riddled with corruption and equipment is cheap. They have spent a lot of money, but the corruption ate away at it. Just like Russia they have a lot of stuff but it's not all that good. A lot of their stuff is built from Russia stuff. Before Russia invade the Ukraine everyone on this broad except me was saying they were going to kick Ukraine *** in three days. I went around and around with a few on here. Taiwan military is no joke either and just like the Ukraine they will be defending their territory. Land they know. Their families. The Chinese military personal will not feel the same way. China just can't do it and he knows it. He would have done if he didn't.
related.
www.vox.com
We completely cut off Cuba, all they have is China, Russia, Iran. What do we expect.
The current leadership in the WH is always one or two steps behind. They slow walk everything.
You know this was built under Trump? So he is the one that "slept right through it" and allowed it to be built and not Biden....
He clearly didn't read the article. It shows they do "have the transports". If he thinks any of the assessments in there are off (and I'm not taking any position on its accuracy at all), then he should say what and how. You too. From what I do know of their naval capabilities, yalls assessment is off.
He cannot get enough boots on the ground fast enough. Any attack piece mill will fail, and it would be a piece mill attack. It is island and easy to defend. I have followed this stuff ever since I was in the military. They just can't get enough on the ground to hold it. They will be killed or capture to fast. They will always be out gun. Yeah, he can bomb the hell out of them, but it would just make defensible positions. Plus he want's it intact.
If we have a nuke war I want the first bomb to hit me right on top of my head.
Ok, where do you differ from the article? Which part are you saying will take longer? I have no position on which of you is right, but you are not giving me anything to work with.
It's not an article. It is an opinion piece. My opinion is based on following many other sources over 30 years. You base your opinion on one. I will let it end there. Believe what you want. No way they can get enough boots on the ground to take over a island nation with 30 million people.
I am bending over backwards to not conclude your opinion is based on nothing, but you are giving me nothing to work with. Again, what part of the article do you contest? Just the conclusion? The article specifically lays out how they can get enough boots on the ground. It determines how many transports they'll have left after the naval shooting phase, how long round trips are, how many troops they'll need to take the airport, etc.
Clancy must have thought it was fun to write as well... I just checked Audible and this book clocks in at an impressive 43 hours. Wow.
Don't bother him; he's busy planning his railroad from California across the Indian Ocean
I couldn't believe what I was hearing when I watched him do that.
