Tracking the chance we are extended a bowl bid if we finish 5-7.
Week 1 (with more background): https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/bowl-chances-at-5-7.1123980/
Week 2: https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/the-5-7-scenario-10-23.1134896/
Week 3: https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/the-5-7-bowl-game-scenario-10-30.1146142/#post-21162683
Boston College is officially bowl eligible. Congrats to the Eagles and they are now off the chart below. It was suggested last week that struggling Clemson be added back in, then the Tigers went out and beat Notre Dame. They are now projected to win out so it seems like their stay on this list will be short. For completions sake, I also added Wisconsin who is a win short of being legitimately bowl eligible and likely to get there on Saturday.
Of the teams without six wins, we are currently 11th in the priority list. We will move up several spots before it's all over.
There are 41 bowl games, 82 slots to fill.
11/7: 53 teams bowl eligible, 17 with five wins, 24 with four wins, 23 with three wins, 16 with 2 or 1 (Sam Houston won!)
10/30: 43 teams bowl eligible. 19 with five wins. 27 with four wins. 17 with three wins. 27 with 2, 1, or 0 (poor Sam Houston State).
10/23: 32 teams are already bowl eligible, 19 more have five wins, 29 have four wins. 24 more teams sit at 3 wins.
Week 1 (with more background): https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/bowl-chances-at-5-7.1123980/
Week 2: https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/the-5-7-scenario-10-23.1134896/
Week 3: https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/the-5-7-bowl-game-scenario-10-30.1146142/#post-21162683
Boston College is officially bowl eligible. Congrats to the Eagles and they are now off the chart below. It was suggested last week that struggling Clemson be added back in, then the Tigers went out and beat Notre Dame. They are now projected to win out so it seems like their stay on this list will be short. For completions sake, I also added Wisconsin who is a win short of being legitimately bowl eligible and likely to get there on Saturday.
| Apr Rank | School | W | L | Remaining Schedule | Projected wins | Proj Total |
| 1 | Northwestern | 4 | 5 | Wisconsin, Purdue, Illinois | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Wisconsin | 5 | 4 | Northwestern, Nebraska, Minnesota | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clemson | 5 | 4 | Ga Tech, UNC, South Carolina | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | 2 | 7 | Houston, West VA, Kansas | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Minnesota | 5 | 4 | Purdue, Ohio State, Wisconsin | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Wake Forest | 4 | 5 | NC State, Notre Dame, Syracuse | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Boise State | 4 | 5 | New Mexico, Utah State, Air Force | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Iowa State | 5 | 4 | BYU, Texas, Kansas State | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Rice | 4 | 5 | UTSA, Charlotte, FAU | 2 | 6 |
| 19 | Auburn | 5 | 4 | Arkansas, New Mexico State, Bama | 2 | 7 |
| 21 | Mississippi State | 4 | 5 | Texas A&M, Southern Miss, Ole Miss | 1 | 5 |
Of the teams without six wins, we are currently 11th in the priority list. We will move up several spots before it's all over.
- It seems likely that Wisconsin, Clemson, Minnesota, and Auburn will for sure come off the list in the next week or two. That moves us up to 7th.
- Cincy started 2-0 and has lost 7 straight. Unless they find a miracle in the last three weeks, they won't get to 5-7. That moves us up to 6th.
- Northwestern needs one of their last three. Purdue is the most likely one, so if you are truly desiring for us to be neat the top of this list, you are rooting against Northwestern the next three weeks.
- Wake Forest also needs one win. Their last home game is Saturday against NC State. Then it's on the road in South Bend and then at Syracuse. Cuse started 4-0, now has lost 5 straight. Who knows.
- Boise needs one more to get to 5-7. They have two good shots at it this Saturday and next. If they lose this Saturday, then maybe 4-8 is on the table for them.
- Iowa State already has 5 wins, so we can't pass them. They could of course get to 6 with a win in their last three, but none of those will be easy. That BYU game is in Provo.
- Rice needs another win to get to 5-7. The UTSA game is their toughest one left, then two fairly even matches against Charlotte and FAU. Rice is another team you are pulling against.
There are 41 bowl games, 82 slots to fill.
11/7: 53 teams bowl eligible, 17 with five wins, 24 with four wins, 23 with three wins, 16 with 2 or 1 (Sam Houston won!)
10/30: 43 teams bowl eligible. 19 with five wins. 27 with four wins. 17 with three wins. 27 with 2, 1, or 0 (poor Sam Houston State).
10/23: 32 teams are already bowl eligible, 19 more have five wins, 29 have four wins. 24 more teams sit at 3 wins.
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