WBB BPI Bracketology Infographic Shows Gamecock Prowess

[LonghornsGamecocks]

Simulation gives Gamecocks 39% chance to win it all, >=3x more than anyone else. Also shows these BPI win probabilities versus other top teams.

Will South Carolina win the women's NCAA title? ESPN ran the simulation

Which teams might be the biggest threats to South Carolina's perfect run? ESPN simulated the NCAA tournament 1,000 times using BPI and Bracketology.

www.espn.com

 

[Uscg1984]

The chart in the link doesn't exactly match the one in the post above.

Some of the probabilities don't make a lot of sense to me. According to their algorithms, UConn has the best chance to beat SC, but does not have the best chance to make the Final Four. UConn seems like a curious pick to beat us as well, considering that we have already beaten them easily while being short-handed. You would think LSU, who has played us close in two games, would have a better chance of beating us since they have already proven they can play _with_ us. Or perhaps one of the teams we haven't played yet . . . like Southern Cal who was not represented in the list.

 

[LonghornsGamecocks]

The chart in the link doesn't exactly match the one in the post above.

Some of the probabilities don't make a lot of sense to me. According to their algorithms, UConn has the best chance to beat SC, but does not have the best chance to make the Final Four. UConn seems like a curious pick to beat us as well, considering that we have already beaten them easily while being short-handed. You would think LSU, who has played us close in two games, would have a better chance of beating us since they have already proven they can play _with_ us. Or perhaps one of the teams we haven't played yet . . . like Southern Cal who was not represented in the list.

I took the chart from the link, so not sure what's different. Regarding the UCONN probability to beat SC vs make the F4: that's the win probability at a neutral site matchup versus SC regardless of F4 Bracketology pathing.

The data is sorted by teams with the greatest probability to win the tourney as opposed to sorted by teams with the greatest chance to beat SC; hence no Southern Cal.

 

[Uscg1984]

I took the chart from the link, so not sure what's different. Regarding the UCONN probability to beat SC vs make the F4: that's the win probability at a neutral site matchup versus SC regardless of F4 Bracketology pathing.

I have no idea, but the numbers must have changed between the time you posted it and the time I clicked on the link. lol. Maybe the computer is still running simulations as we sit here. Hopefully, the computer isn't about to become self aware and take over the world.

 

[USCEDGE]

I have no idea, but the numbers must have changed between the time you posted it and the time I clicked on the link. lol. Maybe the computer is still running simulations as we sit here. Hopefully, the computer isn't about to become self aware and take over the world.

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We dropped 7 percentage points to win it all sometime between 2:00 and 3:33. I looked but couldn't find the chart as of the time of this posting so who knows where we are at this point. The team given the greatest chance to beat us is only at 38% yet we only have a 29% chance to win the championship? They must be placing too much emphasis on how things played out for us last year. Not gonna happen this time around. I would gladly take roughly 4-1 odds against the field right now.