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We are an 8-9 seed at best

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Baddog11

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Aug 28, 2013
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But….:it could be the type of team that could make a surprising run in the ncaa tournament. A few players can get hot and there is some depth. Jans made runs previously in the ncaa tournament. So as long as we get in . But no play in game ******** please
 
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Baddog11

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Aug 28, 2013
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postgame radio interview. Talked about the foul trouble we got in the 1st half.
 
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HRMSU

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Apr 26, 2022
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We had to at least split the week anyway so need to win Saturday and survive for next week.
 
POTUS

POTUS

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Baddog11 said:
But….:it could be the type of team that could make a surprising run in the ncaa tournament. A few players can get hot and there is some depth. Jans made runs previously in the ncaa tournament. So as long as we get in . But no play in game ******** please
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Sure as long as we only play teams that never shoot any 3s we should be good.
 
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golferdog

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Baddog11 said:
But….:it could be the type of team that could make a surprising run in the ncaa tournament. A few players can get hot and there is some depth. Jans made runs previously in the ncaa tournament. So as long as we get in . But no play in game ******** please
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I don't see it. We don't dictate pace of game against higher level teams. We don't guard the 3 ball well enough. Probably tournament team, but won't win anything of significance like every other year. It's the MSU way.
 
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HuntDawg

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Oct 25, 2018
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This next stretch of game is going to separate the middle tier of the conference and play a big role in whose a 4-5 seed and whose an 8-9 seed... or even worse

Missouri, Texas AM, Ole Miss, Georgia all hovering around the same net ranking we are, along with in the sec standings. 4 of our next 5 are against those and will go a long way in where we fall from a seed standpoint.... we cant afford a bad stretch
 
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FlotownDawg

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Aug 30, 2012
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We’ve lost to the elite teams (all of our losses are to top 10 teams). We are also 4-0 against teams on our level or below our level. We need to be the top of the next tier of SEC teams, which I consider to be us, Mizzou, OM, Vandy, Georgia, Oklahoma, Texas A&M and Texas. Those are the teams we need to beat in order to get around a 4-5 seed.
 
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Darryl Steight

Darryl Steight

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Sep 30, 2022
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I've already told y'all we are going to be a 5 seed. It is written in the stars. We will play a 12 seed who has a bunch of small (probably on the paler side) players who have no chance against us inside, but can shoot the lights out from 3. It. is. 17'ing. written.

But until then, shiiit, we have lost to the numbers 1, 3, 5, and 9 teams in the country. Most other teams in the country would lose to those four teams. WTF do y'all expect? We just need to get to 10 or so wins in conference, which means we will lose at least 8. It'll be okay. Hell, given the scripted 5-12 scenario above, in the long run we may be better off losing 10 and taking our chances as a 8 seed playing a non-SEC 1-seed in the second round that we match up well with. I'm not even joking about that.
 
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MSUDC11-2.0

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There are so many games left that are pretty much interchangeable that I think final record matters more than who specifically who we beat or don’t beat.

If you want a 4 seed or better I think 11-7 is the magic number. 10-8 with a win or two in Nashville might do it. 9-9 puts you in the 5-6 seed range. 8-10 is probably a 7 seed, maybe 8. We’d have to go 7-11 to be any lower than that, and even then we still probably get in.
 
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HuntDawg

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MSUDC11-2.0 said:
There are so many games left that are pretty much interchangeable that I think final record matters more than who specifically who we beat or don’t beat.

If you want a 4 seed or better I think 11-7 is the magic number. 10-8 with a win or two in Nashville might do it. 9-9 puts you in the 5-6 seed range. 8-10 is probably a 7 seed, maybe 8. We’d have to go 7-11 to be any lower than that, and even then we still probably get in.
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we are closer to a 6 seed than a 4 seed right now. Net is 24... we are actually probably a 6 dead on right now.

We go 5-5 down the stretch and finish 9-9 we'll be squarely on the 7-8 level, might get into the 6 seed convo, but wont even be close to the 5 spot.

Youre projections are about 1 win above where they will likely end up.... but give it 2 weeks a lot will clear up with where we stand inside this conference
 
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MSUDC11-2.0

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HuntDawg said:
we are closer to a 6 seed than a 4 seed right now. Net is 24... we are actually probably a 6 dead on right now.

We go 5-5 down the stretch and finish 9-9 we'll be squarely on the 7-8 level, might get into the 6 seed convo, but wont even be close to the 5 spot.

Youre projections are about 1 win above where they will likely end up.... but give it 2 weeks a lot will clear up with where we stand inside this conference
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I think we’re borderline 5-6 seed at the moment. If it’s a 5 then it’s a low 5. NET and KPI are a little lower than I’d like but strength of record is 18 which is 5 seed territory.

Next 6 games will determine a lot because they’re all Q1 games and all roughly 50/50 toss ups in terms of win probability. Need to win at least half of those, IMO.
 
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DawgatAuburn

DawgatAuburn

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Apr 25, 2006
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HuntDawg said:
we are closer to a 6 seed than a 4 seed right now. Net is 24... we are actually probably a 6 dead on right now.

We go 5-5 down the stretch and finish 9-9 we'll be squarely on the 7-8 level, might get into the 6 seed convo, but wont even be close to the 5 spot.

Youre projections are about 1 win above where they will likely end up.... but give it 2 weeks a lot will clear up with where we stand inside this conference
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My guess:

4-6 >> 7 seed
5-5 >> 6 seed
6-4 or 7-3 >> 5 seed
8-2 >> 4 seed

This doesn't fully factor in the SEC tournament. I'm guessing we get no more than 1 win there.
 
POTUS

POTUS

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Some undersized shooting guard from a school like Utah State is going to have a career night from 3 and send us packing in round one.

OR

When we play teams that aren't quite as deep, those open 3's off the trap aren't hit and we make a run. Not crossing my fingers but also not ruling it out.
 
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JackShephard

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Sep 27, 2011
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Requiem For A Dawg said:
On the road:
Got blown out on the by the only two good SEC teams we’ve played.

At home:
Choked against the only two good teams we’ve played at home.
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I think we end up between a 4 and a 6, based on the SECT results.

Here's the thing - the team that beat Memphis on the road, Pitt, and SC by 30 is good enough to go really deep in the NCAAT. The team that lost to Butler, barely beat Southern, and continues to lose home games to high caliber competition won't make it through the first weekend.

Who shows up in March? No one will know until we play.
 
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