We will make the tournament. (Updated 10:43 AM)

[QuaoarsKing]

If you take all of the autobids and announced host sites, 40 teams have definitely made the tournament:<div><div>Alcorn State, Arizona State, Arkansas-Little Rock, Austin Peay, Belmont, Bethune-Cookman, Cal State Fullerton, Charlotte, Clemson, Coastal Carolina, Creighton, Florida, Florida State, Fresno State, Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech, Illinois, James Madison, Kent State, Maine, Manhattan, Navy, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oral Roberts, Oregon State, Princeton, Rice, Sacred Heart, San Francisco, Seton Hall, South Carolina, TCU, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas State, UCLA, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Wright State.</div></div><div>
</div><div>That leaves 24 at large bids. We know the committee values RPI, and probably ISR as well (the 16 regional are all in the top 20 in ISR but only top 32 in RPI).</div><div>
</div><div>Here's the remaining at large teams sorted by average of RPI and ISR. Because Warren Nolan and Boyd's differ so much on RPI, I'm using 25% on each RPI, and 50% for ISR.</div><div>
</div><div>Green hilights are the teams ESPN, CB Daily, and SEBaseball all have making the tournament. Yellow is the teams that some have, but not all.</div><div>
</div><div><div>AVG<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>ISR<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span><font class="Apple-style-span" size="2">BRPI</font><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>W<font class="Apple-style-span" size="1">RPI</font><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Team</div><div><div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">17.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>15<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Stanford</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">17.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>14<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>13<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Arkansas</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">19.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>19<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oklahoma</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">21.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>14<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Miami</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">22.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>20<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>20<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Southern Miss</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">22.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>21<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Arizona</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">24.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>32<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Georgia</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">24.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>31<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>18<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>18<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Central Florida</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">25.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>26<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>26<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>LSU</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">26.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>28<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Florida International</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">29.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>UC Irvine</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">31.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>34<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>29<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>East Carolina</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">31.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>30<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Mississippi State</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">32.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>California</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">33.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>21<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Stetson</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">35.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>32<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>31<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>North Carolina State</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">35.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>28<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>33<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Baylor</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">36.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>37<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>34<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oklahoma State</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">40.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>45<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>35<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Alabama</span></div><div>41.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>29<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oregon</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">42.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Kansas State</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">43.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>38<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Troy</span></div><div>43.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>40<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Ole Miss</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">44.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>47<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Connecticu</span>t</div><div>
</div><div><cutoff></div><div>
</div><div>47.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>59<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>33<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>37<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>East Tennessee State</div><div>48.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Auburn (INELIGIBLE)</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">48.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>40<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>52<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>62<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Cal State Bakersfield</span></div><div>49.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Texas Tech</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">50.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>45<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>54<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Dallas Baptist</span></div><div>51.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>30<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>72<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Gonzaga</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">55.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>61<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>49<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>49<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Elon</span></div><div>55.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>57<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>58<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Southeastern Louisiana</div><div>55.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>65<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>66<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Long Beach State</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">57.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre; "> </span>69<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre; "> </span>47<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre; "> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre; "> </span>Jacksonville</span></div><div>58.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>64<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>54<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>St. John's</div><div>59.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>55<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>63<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>63<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Washington State(INELIGIBLE)</div><div>59.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>57<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>67<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Hawai'i</div><div>61.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>66<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>57<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Mercer</div><div>61.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>73<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Florida Atlantic</div><div>62.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>67<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>59<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>55<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Nebraska</div><div>63.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>63<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>61<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>65<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Illinois State</div><div>64.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>68<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>62<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>61<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Missouri State</div><div>69.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>74<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>64<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>64<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>College of Charleston</div><div>69.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>65<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>71<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>76<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Wichita State</div><div>69.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>80<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>58<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>60<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Houston</div><div>72.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>58<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>89<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>83<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>USC</div><div>77.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>54<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>101<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>101<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Loyola Marymount</div><div>81.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>62<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>99<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>104<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Cal Poly</div></div><div>
</div></div></div><div>
</div><div>Conclusion: Even though SEBaseball has us as one of the last five in, we almost certainly have nothing to worry about.</div>

 

[QuaoarsKing]

If you take all of the autobids and announced host sites, 40 teams have definitely made the tournament:<div><div>Alcorn State, Arizona State, Arkansas-Little Rock, Austin Peay, Belmont, Bethune-Cookman, Cal State Fullerton, Charlotte, Clemson, Coastal Carolina, Creighton, Florida, Florida State, Fresno State, Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech, Illinois, James Madison, Kent State, Maine, Manhattan, Navy, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oral Roberts, Oregon State, Princeton, Rice, Sacred Heart, San Francisco, Seton Hall, South Carolina, TCU, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas State, UCLA, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Wright State.</div></div><div>
</div><div>That leaves 24 at large bids. We know the committee values RPI, and probably ISR as well (the 16 regional are all in the top 20 in ISR but only top 32 in RPI).</div><div>
</div><div>Here's the remaining at large teams sorted by average of RPI and ISR. Because Warren Nolan and Boyd's differ so much on RPI, I'm using 25% on each RPI, and 50% for ISR.</div><div>
</div><div>Green hilights are the teams ESPN, CB Daily, and SEBaseball all have making the tournament. Yellow is the teams that some have, but not all.</div><div>
</div><div><div>AVG<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>ISR<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span><font class="Apple-style-span" size="2">BRPI</font><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>W<font class="Apple-style-span" size="1">RPI</font><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Team</div><div><div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">17.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>15<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Stanford</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">17.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>14<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>13<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Arkansas</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">19.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>19<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oklahoma</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">21.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>14<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Miami</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">22.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>20<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>20<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Southern Miss</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">22.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>21<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Arizona</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">24.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>32<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Georgia</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">24.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>31<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>18<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>18<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Central Florida</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">25.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>26<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>26<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>LSU</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">26.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>28<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Florida International</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">29.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>UC Irvine</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">31.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>34<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>29<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>East Carolina</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">31.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>30<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Mississippi State</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">32.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>California</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">33.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>21<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Stetson</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">35.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>32<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>31<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>North Carolina State</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">35.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>28<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>33<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Baylor</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">36.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>37<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>34<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oklahoma State</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">40.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>45<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>35<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Alabama</span></div><div>41.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>29<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oregon</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">42.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Kansas State</span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">43.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>38<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Troy</span></div><div>43.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>40<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Ole Miss</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">44.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>47<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Connecticu</span>t</div><div>
</div><div><cutoff></div><div>
</div><div>47.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>59<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>33<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>37<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>East Tennessee State</div><div>48.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Auburn (INELIGIBLE)</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">48.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>40<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>52<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>62<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Cal State Bakersfield</span></div><div>49.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Texas Tech</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">50.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>45<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>54<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Dallas Baptist</span></div><div>51.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>30<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>72<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Gonzaga</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">55.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>61<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>49<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>49<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Elon</span></div><div>55.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>57<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>58<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Southeastern Louisiana</div><div>55.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>65<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>66<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Long Beach State</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: rgb(0, 255, 0);">57.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre; "> </span>69<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre; "> </span>47<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre; "> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-space: pre; "> </span>Jacksonville</span></div><div>58.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>64<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>54<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>St. John's</div><div>59.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>55<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>63<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>63<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Washington State(INELIGIBLE)</div><div>59.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>57<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>67<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Hawai'i</div><div>61.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>66<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>57<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Mercer</div><div>61.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>73<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Florida Atlantic</div><div>62.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>67<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>59<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>55<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Nebraska</div><div>63.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>63<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>61<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>65<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Illinois State</div><div>64.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>68<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>62<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>61<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Missouri State</div><div>69.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>74<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>64<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>64<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>College of Charleston</div><div>69.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>65<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>71<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>76<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Wichita State</div><div>69.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>80<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>58<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>60<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Houston</div><div>72.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>58<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>89<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>83<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>USC</div><div>77.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>54<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>101<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>101<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Loyola Marymount</div><div>81.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>62<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>99<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>104<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Cal Poly</div></div><div>
</div></div></div><div>
</div><div>Conclusion: Even though SEBaseball has us as one of the last five in, we almost certainly have nothing to worry about.</div>

 

[HubDawg]

Very good analysis...How long did it take you to compile all of that?

 

[Todd4State]

How did you get the RPI? Did you use Boyd or Warren Nolan, or did you average them both out?

Those numbers look right- and honestly, they look better than Etheridge's to me. Good work.

 

[QuaoarsKing]

I don't really know why they're different from Warrennolan, other than supposedly Boyd ignores ties while WN counts them as half a win and half a loss. Don't know if that's enough to make 5-spot differences in teams that never tied, but maybe it is.<div>
</div><div>I'll update the chart again tonight after all the games have been completed.</div>

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

create a statistical probability of success.

The thing that bothers me most about RPI/ISR use as a key component for the selection process is that it gives too much credit for "losses" simply because the losses occur to higher RPI teams. It is rediculous that Georgia was playing themselves in just by getting to a 30-29 record. Mercer, Troy and Dallas Baptist cannot "make" the top teams play them. I agree that there schedule should be somewhat punishable, but I think the factorial gap is too wide between why a Georgia at 30-29 may get in over a 39-19 Troy.

I think a better way would be to solely use "victories" over higher RPI opponents against a balance of "losses" to lower RPI opponents. Losses shoud hurt no matter who they are to. Georgia, beat some good teams, lost to some good teams, but also lost to some average teams (Kennesaw State anyone).

I don't have a problem with UGA being a "bubble" team, but as soon as they won yesterday, they were immediately crowned as one of the 64. They should be behind MSU & LSU in the pecking order, not ahead. W-L records have to hold more value than they do.

 

[State82]

one spot in the available at-large teams because TCU is already in. Looking forward to the final list after everything is complete out west. Thanks.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

And close to being right (TCU as previously mentioned notwithstanding of course).

 

[QuaoarsKing]

And I'll post the final numbers. I think I'm going to do 25% WN RPI, 25% Boyd RPI, and 50% Boyd ISR, since some teams have discrepancies of 7-8 spots or more between WN and Boyd RPIs.

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

Is it true that Mississippi Rebears are practicing in the morning?

 

[QuaoarsKing]

nt

 

[QuaoarsKing]

<div>In?<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>AVG<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>ISR<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span><font class="Apple-style-span" size="1">BRPIWRPI</font><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Team</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>15<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Stanford</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>14<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>13<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Arkansas</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>19.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>19<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oklahoma</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>21.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>14<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Miami</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>20<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>20<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Southern Miss</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>21<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Arizona</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>32<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>16<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Georgia</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>31<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>18<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>18<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Central Florida</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>25.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>26<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>26<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>22<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>LSU</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>26.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>28<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>24<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Florida International</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>29.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>17<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>UC Irvine</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>31.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>34<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>27<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>29<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>East Carolina</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>31.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>30<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Mississippi State</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>32.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>California</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>33.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>23<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>21<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Stetson</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>35.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>32<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>31<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>North Carolina State</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>35.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>28<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>33<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Baylor</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>37<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>34<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oklahoma State</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>40.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>45<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>35<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>36<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Alabama</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>29<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Oregon</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>41<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Kansas State</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>38<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Troy</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>40<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Ole Miss</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>44.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>47<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Connecticut</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>47.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>59<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>33<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>37<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>East Tennessee State</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>56<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>42<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>39<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Auburn</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48.50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>40<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>52<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>62<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Cal State Bakersfield</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>49.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>48<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Texas Tech</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>50.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>45<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>54<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Dallas Baptist</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>30<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>72<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Gonzaga</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>55.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>61<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>49<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>49<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Elon</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>55.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>53<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>57<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>58<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Southeastern Louisiana</div><div><span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>55.75<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>46<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>65<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>66<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Long Beach State</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>57.00<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>69<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>47<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>43<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>Jacksonville</div><div>x<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>58.25<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>64<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>54<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>51<span class="Apple-tab-span" style="white-spacere"> </span>St. John's</div><div>
</div>

 

[57stratdawg]

They didn't deserve to be in. Like the chairman said, they didn't have any good OOC road wins and 6 of their SEC wins came against UK and UT.

Like I said, they spent all year proving they shouldn't be in the field. I'm glad the selection committee decided to listen.

 

[QuaoarsKing]

But the committee has to select 34 at large teams. These should be the 34 best resumes, even though the last few are going to be pretty weak.<div>
</div><div>LSU's resume is clearly better than St. John's, Jacksonville, and Dallas Baptist. So is Ole Miss's resume for that matter.</div><div>
</div><div>If we really want to make it fairer, get rid of the bad autobid teams and scale back to 32 teams. But under this current format, LSU should have been included.</div>

 

[Todd4State]

I know Boyd and Warren Nolan do RPI stuff year after year and they're right for the most part, but I could see where LSU could have an inflated RPI because they probably started out pretty high and then they beat Cal State- Fullerton really early in the year, and those two things could have kept their RPI up higher than it actually turned out to be.

 

[Goat 4 Eva]

If we're talking the best teams, LSU should have been in.

 

[Goat 4 Eva]

and tournaments should be abolished. I've never understood conference tournaments, I think they are pointless. I feel the same way about conference championships in football.

 

[57stratdawg]

When UF went in and swept them at home LSU's RPI was still WAY up there (top 5 maybe?), and it was clear that team wasn't as good as advertised.

I'm surprised they left LSU's fan base at home though. I figured the draw they would create would squeak them in.

 

[QuaoarsKing]

<div>Baseball is too fluky to let a team in a bad conference have one slightly lucky weekend and steal the bid from the best team in the conference (see Maine.) Also, it would erase the artificial barrier of teams that make it and teams that don't.</div><div>
</div><div>That would get New Mexico, Belmont, Seton Hall, and UALR out and open up 4 more at large spots, since the regular season champions of those 4 conferences all got a spot. I suppose it out also knock Georgia out as well.</div><div>
</div><div>We might see LSU, Oregon, Ole Miss, Auburn (now eligible), and Cal State Bakersfield in that case. Definitely a more interesting tournament, and a fairer one.</div><div>
</div><div>
</div>

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

If we're talking the best teams, LSU should have been in.

Nicholls State atThibadeaux LSU won 8-6
Tulane at New Orleans LSU won
Southern Miss at New Orleans LSU won
UNO at New Orleans LSU won (footnote UNO won 4 games this year)

play some quality road games and

LSU took 3 from UK, 3 from UT, 2 out of 3 from Mississippi. That is 8 of their 13 wins against the other non-Tourney participants. They took 2 from us, but that was on the last weekend where they needed to take all 3.

At what point do we decide it is not right that a 9th place SEC team make a tourney ahead of a 2nd place team in the BIG East?

The committee picked MSU & St. Johns over LSU. If LSU were in, we might not be. How would you feel then?

 

[8dog]

we only played 5 true road OOC games. And those teams were all pretty bad. Our home OOC schedule was far worse than LSU's based on Cal St. Fullerton alone.

 

[engie]

*pre-SEC tourney* http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/baseball/d1

I believe that the variations in RPI between websites are based on home/road weighting. The .25 WP + .5OWP + .25OOWP is not the entire story, it's weighted, and the NCAA doesn't release the weighting number. In basketball, they assign a home win as approx 0.6 win and a home loss as 1.4 loss, viceversa on the road. I believe Boyd has modified his RPI formula several times in order to try to match the NCAA weighting in baseball, but I don't know the actual weighting number, and haven't seen him state where his baseball weighting currently is. Clearly, neither of them have determined the exact formula here...

In order to make the formula closer to correct, you'd think they'd have to determine a mathematical formula for "actual homefield advantage" and use it in the weighting...I think Boyd does this in ISR, but I'm not completely sure on that...

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

MSU played South Carolina but not Kentucky.

8dog, It looks like you are indicting MSU for not deserving to be in over LSU.

They finished their schedule with UK, UT and us and won 8 of 9. But, they went 0-6 against Vandy and UF and we went 2-4. They went 0-3 vs. Arkansas and we went 1-2. I think LSU's beef is not with MSU, but with themselves first and then with the committee trying to spread the fun around this year.

 

[8dog]

got criticized so harshly. I mean, who really plays a lot of quality road OOC opponents? We sure didn't. That was my point.

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

And I get that. But I believe the Committee Chairman put those 2 results together, rather than separate them.
Our record against the better SEC teams (home & road) plus our Road OOC. gave us the edge amongst the available SEC teams to fill out the bracket.

I also would say that LSU has a bigger beef in conference with UGA and out of conference with Baylor.RPI not withstanding, 31-30 overall and 29-26 records just don't "demand" inclusion over 36-20. But those teams are in and LSU is out.

Cannot worry about LSU any more though. We have a challenge with McInnis, and from what I understand he wanted to be a Bulldog but Polk did not offer, so he might be a little pumped on Friday. Maybe he will be too pumped and struggle. Cohen needs to get his troops fired up to go over there and WIN IT....Not just participate like we did at Hoover.

 

[Todd4State]

as playing in West Point is for us- when we play in Pearl, it's about 50/50 of a crowd split. LSU playing Tulane or USM in NOLA is going to be probably 90% LSU at least. And I'm being pretty conservative when I say that.

We played a pretty average UAB team on the road, Lipscomb- probably at least the equivalent of Nicholls, although they could possibly be worse than Nicholls. Playing and beating USM in Pearl as well as Ole Miss in Pearl is more impressive to me than LSU beating just about anyone in New Orleans. We also beat a decent South Alabama team on the road as well and Memphis on the road, although that game was about like LSU playing someone in NOLA.

I think many people could argue the same thing about Alabama and LSU, though.