I am cautiously optimistic at this point. I would have been optimistic before the guns came out. Here are my thoughts:
1. Offensive Line concerns: Left tackle is at risk now. I think Derek Sherrod will move to LT, and Melichar will be the starter at RT. The loss of Brown leaves the offensive tackle positions weakened with both no proven LT and a lack of depth. The Guards will be the strength. Michael Gates may wind up also playing RT. The exchange problems with the Centers and QB's seemed to have resolved.
2. We have 4 good WR's, with two very good ones in Riley and Smith, Bell and McRae are also worth Division 1A scholarships. Beyond that, we don't have much, unless a freshman plays a lot.
3. TE is inexperienced, although we have a few quality athletes at the position. Blocking will be a problem.
4. Dixon is the real deal, and will be better as a junior. Ducre' isn't far behind. Elliott and Bonner provide speed and depth.
5. FB is a question mark.
6. We will finally have depth at QB, but we are a way from having a QB that is in the top 6 in the SEC.
The offense, therefore, is not going to be appreciatively better. Carroll will execute the offense well, and should be a better passer, if we can find someone to protect his blind side. I'll wait and see on that.
On defense:
DE: Cortez McCraney and Tim Bailey will likely be the starting DE's, with Jimmie Holmes and Brandon Cooper the first line of reserves, although Wesley' dismissal may force McCraney to move back inside. This is an area where a true freshman has potential to help, because we don't have a Titus Brown to disrupt opposition backfields. Shane McCardell, Devin Jones and Trevor Stigers have the best chance to help.
DT: Jesse Bowman and Kyle Love will probably be the starters, with Lamarcus Williams the primary backup. Both Josh Jackson and Templeton Hardy could be pressed into service as true freshmen.
LB: Jamar Chaney, Dominic Douglas, and K.J. Wright will probably start at LB. Jamon Hughes status is uncertain. Our backups, therefore, will likely be freshman redshirts. Jamie Jones and Terrell Johnson are the best of the redshirts.
DB's: Before he hurt his knee and the guns got pulled, Anthony Johnson was our best CB. We still have several good ones. We will be okay at CB, and I know we have excellent safeties.
I think we will be roughly equal to last year's team in talent, but while we also got some favorable bounces last year, we have a lot of senior leadership this coming season. Last season I predicted 7-5 and a bowl win. I think it is too early to make a prediction, but forced to take a shot in the dark, I'd say 7-5 again, with the possibility of one more.