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Alabama vs. Florida odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch SEC Tournament

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra03/15/25

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Florida, Alabama
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Alabama and Florida are preparing for a huge showdown in the Semifinals of the SEC Tournament. The Crimson Tide and Gators are going to set Nashville ablaze when they take the court together on Saturday afternoon in a doozy of a matchup.

The Crimson Tide are entering the game on a bit of a roll. They defeated Auburn during their final game of the regular season, and then they deflated Kentucky during the Quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament. Meanwhile, Florida hasn’t lost since a Feb. 25 defeat against Georgia, and they’re coming off of a 14-point win over Missouri.

Check out everything you need to know about the SEC Tournament showdown below. The winner will advance to the finale on Sunday, where they’ll meet either the Auburn Tigers or the Tennessee Volunteers.

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Odds for Alabama vs. Florida

Coming into the game, Florida is a 3.5-point favorite over Alabama, per FanDuel. The Gators are also currently listed at -162 for the money-line right now, while the Crimson Tide are sitting at +134.

The point total for the game is currently set at 174.5 points. It’s certainly feasible that these two teams reach that number when they face off, and all the chips are pushed to the center of the table.

Final score predictions for Alabama vs. Florida

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.3%
BPI Win probability (for Florida): 51.2
BPI Matchup Quality: 97.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 0.3 points in Florida’s favor. It also gives the Gators a 51.2% chance to win the game over the Crimson Tide.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 97.8. It’s the best quality score of Saturday’s college basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 88, Alabama 85
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 61%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Florida and Alabama, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gators to be victorious.

How to watch Alabama vs. Florida

Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN
Location: Bridgestone Arena | Nashville, Tennessee

Florida and Alabama are set to tip off at 3:30 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, as part of a huge SEC Tournament showdown between two of the more fascinating teams in college basketball. For fans outside of Tennessee, the game can be watched on ESPN.

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