Duke vs. Houston odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Sweet 16

The field for the Sweet 16 in the NCAA Tournament is set and includes several intriguing games. That includes the Duke Blue Devils taking on the Houston Cougars.

A one-seed in the NCAA Tournament, the Houston Cougars needed to go to overtime to survive an upset bid in their second game against Texas A&M. The Duke Blue Devils, meanwhile, took care of business against James Madison to set up this Sweet 16 battle between two of college basketball’s biggest brands.

Ahead of that game, here is a look at the odds, win probability, final score predictions, and how to watch Duke try to knock off Houston.

Odds for Duke vs. Houston

Coming into this Sweet 16 matchup, Houston is a 4.5-point favorite over Duke, per FanDuel. The Cougars are also currently listed at -184 for the moneyline. Meanwhile, the Blue Devils are listed at +152 for the moneyline.

The over-under point total for the game is currently set at 133.5 points. So far in the NCAA Tournament, both Houston and Duke have gone over that number once.

Final score predictions for Duke vs. Houston

BPI Predicted winner: Houston
BPI Predicted point differential: 7.1
BPI Win probability (for UH): 76.8 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 87.5

ESPN’s BPI model is designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In this case, it agrees with Vegas that Houston should come into this game as the favorite. BPI currently projects Houston to win by 7.1 points and gives the Cougars a 76.8 percent chance to win the game.

BPI is also giving this game a matchup quality score of 87.5, which is the second-best quality score of games that day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Houston 69, Duke 66
KenPom Win probability (for UH): 60 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game, KenPom agrees with both Vegas and BPI, projecting the Houston Cougars to win a close game. If KenPom is right about the final score, 135 total points would be scored in this game, just about the Vegas point total.

How to watch Duke vs. Houston

Time: March 29th — 9:39 p.m. EST
Channel: CBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Dallas, TX

The Duke Blue Devils and Houston Cougars are getting set to tip-off at 9:39 p.m. EST on Friday, March 29th at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. It will be one of two Sweet 16 games played on Friday in Dallas.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

For fans who can’t make the trip to Dallas, it will air on CBS. Fans who are looking for a streaming option can find one through Prime Video.