Florida vs. Tennessee: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch SEC Tournament

The SEC Tournament has been incredible since Wednesday and Sunday’s championship game is expected to be the same. Florida and Tennessee will be fighting for a conference title, potentially having massive NCAA Tournament seeding implications on the line too.

Florida took down Alabama to earn a spot in the championship game, while Tennessee pulled off an upset over Auburn. Both teams find themselves red hot at the right time with the calendar reading March.

But only one will be lifting a trophy from Bridgestone Arena. Looking at the opening line and predictions from elsewhere, many are expecting Florida to be that team.

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Odds for ACC Tournament Championship game

Entering Sunday’s SEC Tournament final, Florida (-146) is a 2.5-point favorite over Tennessee (+122) in Nashville, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 140.5 points.

Final score predictions

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 73, Tennessee 70
KenPom Win probability (for Gators): 60%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Florida and Tennessee, KenPom agrees with Vegas, projecting the Volunteers to lose.

How to watch Florida vs. Tennessee

Time: 1 p.m. ET – Sunday, March 16
Channel: ESPN, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Bridgestone Arena — Nashville, TN

This will essentially serve as a tiebreaker of the season series between these two. Florida won a Jan. 7 matchup in Gainesville after holding Tennessee to just 43 points. Rick Barnes’ team returned the favor a few weeks later on Rocky Top as the Vols won 64-44.

Florida has just four SEC Tournament championships to its name, last winning one in 2014. Tennessee has five and is now looking for their second in four years after cutting down the nets in 2022.

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