2025 North Carolina Football Win Totals: Odds released for Bill Belichick’s first season

Going into the 2025 college football season, there are very few teams with more intrigue around them than the North Carolina Tar Heels. After all, legendary NFL head coach Bill Belichick has taken over as the head man in Chapel Hill for his first college season.

There is a lot of debate about what to expect from North Carolina in 2025, coming off a season where they went 6-7 under Mack Brown. Now, however, the folks in the desert have weighed in on the topic. This comes before spring practice and the second Transfer Portal have begun, though rosters have already more clearly taken shape.

At this point, FanDuel has set the 2025 win total for North Carolina at 7.5 wins. They’re also listed at -102 to go under that win total and -128 to go over that win total.

The 2025 season will begin for North Carolina on September 1st when the Tar Heels host the TCU Horned Frogs. That’s one of two non-conference games against schools from the Big 12 with the other coming on the road against the UCF Knights. They’ll also have home non-conference games against a G5 and FCS opponent.

After that, North Carolina will open ACC play against the Clemson Tigers on October 4th. That game is, uniquely, sandwiched between two bye weeks and the Tar Heels won’t have another week off for the remainder of the season when they go on a run of seven straight conference games to end the season. A couple of notable games include hosting the Virginia Cavaliers on October 25th and traveling to the NC State Wolfpack on November 29th to end the regular season.

How Bill Belichick handles college football is going to be interesting to follow. Very few have done as much winning as he has done at the NFL level. Belichick’s 302 wins is third all-time among NFL coaches. His six Super Bowls as a head coach are first. Still, plenty of coaches have jumped from college to the NFL or the NFL to college and not found the same type of success at their new level.

One key will be the scouting staff, which Bill Belichick wants to build similarly to the one his friend Nick Saban built at Alabama.

“I think I learned a lot more from him than he did from me. He’s a great evaluator. And then, I watched him at Alabama put together essentially his scouting and evaluation staff. Now, I’m copying a lot of things that I watched him do there and learned from the system that he installed there. It’s been, really, each day, more players come into the portal. As these bowl games are completed, I’m sure there’ll continue to be more,” Belichick said.

“We’re on top of each guy – evaluating the players that we think will be coming in, but also some declare that maybe we didn’t expect or you start to hear players that are rumored to come in. We’re digging through all those guys. We have a lot to offer here at Carolina, both academically with this institution and the football program, and what we have to offer.”

It will be interesting to see just how successful North Carolina and Belichick can be. Of course, it will still be months before they begin their season and chipping away at that win total.