Alabama vs. Arkansas odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

No. 3 Alabama travels to Fayeteville for a Saturday night tip-off to take on an Arkansas team that has won its last two matchups.

The Crimson Tide are 8-1 in SEC play and have won their last five games heading into the weekend. However, they’re 13-1 dating back to late November as many teams haven’t found a way to keep up with Alabama’s scoring volume.

For the Razorbacks, they’ve won back-to-back games in SEC play for the first time this season. They beat down a ranked Kentucky team before going on to defeat Texas 78-70 on Wednesday. Both wins for John Calipari’s squad came on the road.

Here’s everything you need to know before Saturday night’s matchup between the Crimson Tide and Razorbacks.

Odds for Crimson Tide vs. Razorbacks

Entering Saturday’s matchup, the Crimson Tide (-205) are a 5.5-point favorite over Arkansas (+172) on the road, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 164.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 4.7
BPI Win probability (for Crimson Tide): 67.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 86.0

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 4.7 points in Alabama’s favor. It also gives Alabama a nearly 70 percent chance to win the game over the Razorbacks.

KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 83, Arkansas 79
KenPom Win probability (for Crimson Tide): 59%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Alabama and Arkansas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Razorbacks to lose.

How to watch Alabama vs. Arkansas

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET – Saturday, Feb. 8
Channel: ESPN, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Bud Walton Arena – Fayetteville, AR

Saturday night’s matchup will be the only time these two programs play each other during the regular season.

It will be the first time Alabama head coach Nate Oats matches up against John Calipari at the helm of the Razorbacks’ program. Oats was 2-5 against Calipari while he was coaching Kentucky, earning wins in both 2019 and 2023.

A win on Saturday would give Alabama its 20th win of the season, the fourth time the Crimson Tide has reached that threshold since Oats took over the program in 2019.