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Alabama vs. North Carolina odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Sweet 16

FaceProfileby:Thomas Goldkamp•03/27/24
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Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Alabama and North Carolina each advanced to the Sweet 16 in the NCAA Tournament in relatively comfortable fashion, setting up a showdown that should thrill fans of up-and-down-the-court offensive basketball.

The top seed in the West region, North Carolina advanced by bulldozing Wagner and then Michigan State. Alabama blazed by Charleston, then had a slightly stiffer test against Grand Canyon, but with a similar result.

On3 stops to take a look at the odds in the Sweet 16 tilt, as well as some of the advanced analytics. We also provide you with a guide on how to watch the highly anticipated showdown. Check it out below.

Odds for Alabama vs. North Carolina

Coming into the game, North Carolina is a 4.5-point favorite over Alabama, per FanDuel. The Tar Heels are also currently listed at -184 for the moneyline, right now, while the Crimson Tide are sitting at +152.

The point total for the game is currently set at 172.5 points. If both teams reached their season scoring averages, there would be 173.1 points scored in the contest.

Final score predictions for Alabama vs. North Carolina

KenPom Predicted final score: North Carolina 86, Alabama 84
KenPom Win probability (for North Carolina): 59%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Alabama and North Carolina, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Tar Heels to win by two points.

How to watch Alabama vs. North Carolina

Time: 9:39 p.m. ET, March 28
Channel: CBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Los Angeles, Calif.

Alabama and North Carolina are set to tip off at approximately 9:39 p.m. ET. It will also be played at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, Calif., rather than an on-campus venue, as part of the 2024 NCAA Tournament.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

For fans outside of Los Angeles, the game can be watched on CBS. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through Prime Video, which does have an option for a free trial.