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Alabama vs. Texas A&M odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra01/11/25

SamraSource

Alabama | Texas A&M
Alabama (Jeff Blake-Imagn Images) | Texas A&M (BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

The Alabama Crimson Tide are taking their show on the road, traveling to College Station, Texas to face the Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday evening.

Alabama is 13-2 on the season, and 2-0 within the vaunted SEC. They won their last game by 20, defeating the South Carolina Gamecocks earlier this week. They’re entering College Station on a seven-game winning-streak.

On the other hand, Texas A&M is also 13-2 on the season, and 2-0 within the conference. They haven’t lost since falling by 10 to Oregon in November. Can they hold serve and defeat Alabama? Here’s what the experts think.

Odds for Alabama vs. Texas A&M

Coming into the game, Alabama is a 3.5-point favorite over Texas A&M, per FanDuel. The Crimson Tide are also currently listed at -152 for the money-line, right now, while the Aggies are sitting at +126. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 160.5 points. It’s certainly feasible that these two teams reach that number when they face off, and all the chips are pushed to the center of the table.

Final score predictions for Alabama vs. Texas A&M

BPI Predicted winner: Texas A&M
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.7
BPI Win probability (for Texas A&M): 52.6%
BPI Matchup Quality: 94.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It doesn’t agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 0.7 points in Texas A&M’s favor. It also gives the Aggies a 52.6% chance to win the game over the Crimson Tide. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 94.7, which is the best quality score of Saturday’s college basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Texas A&M 80, Alabama 79
KenPom Win probability (for Texas A&M): 54%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Alabama and Texas A&M, KenPom agrees with BPI but not Vegas, projecting the Aggies to be victorious.

How to watch Alabama vs. Texas A&M

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: College Station, TX

Alabama and Texas A&M are set to tip off at 8:00 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the Reed Arena in College Station, TX, as part of a huge SEC showdown between two of the best teams in college basketball.

For fans outside of Texas, the game can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.