Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Coming into the last week or so, Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt looked very much like a big matchup for the bubble of the NCAA Tournament. However, heading into tip-off tonight, it still is only for one of them tonight in Nashville.

Vanderbilt (20-9, 8-8) is the team between these two that has taken themselves off of the bubble. Following a stretch at 1-5, the Commodores have won three straight with all of them coming against ranked opponents. That has Vandy back on track in the SEC and back in the field per the latest projections of the bracket for March Madness.

Arkansas (17-12, 6-10), though, is right back on the line coming into this week. They won two straight games to get themselves to 5-3 in February with all three losses being respectable, close losses to top-ranked teams. However, their resumé took a hit with a blowout taken this weekend at South Carolina. Now, the Razorbacks, who are down their best player in Adou Thiero who has not played the past two games and won’t again tonight, are in some must-win scenarios this week as far as their postseason goes.

Odds for Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt

Per the odds at FanDuel, Vanderbilt is now a 7.5-point favorite (-110) over the ‘Hogs tonight after opening at -6.5. That has Arkansas at (+260) on the moneyline tonight at just over a three-possession road underdog.

The over-under is then set at 149.5 with the over slightly more favored at (-115).

Final score predictions for Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt

BPI Predicted Winner: Vanderbilt
BPI Predicted Point Differential: 2.6
BPI Win Probability (for Vanderbilt): 60.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 78.1

ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI) is also favoring Vanderbilt tonight but just by a single possession. It’s predicting a point differential of 2.6 points with a win probability at 60.1% for the Commodores.

The matchup quality is then the fifth-best on the schedule tonight per BPI. It’s third-best among the five-game slate in the Southeastern Conference behind only No. 1 Auburn vs. No. 22 Texas A&M and Texas vs. Mississippi State.

KenPom Predicted Final Score: Vanderbilt 77, Arkansas 74
KenPom Win Probability (for Vanderbilt): 63%

KenPom has a similar projection as that from the BPI. It’s also projecting for a one-possession win at three points, with a win probability at 63%, for Vandy.

How to watch Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt

Time: 10:00 p.m. EST
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (Streaming)
Location: Memorial Gymnasium (Nashville, Tennessee)

For those wanting to watch, you’ll be staying up for it with tip-off not until 9 p.m. local in Nashville. Memorial Magic could be in effect, though, with some great games going on there this season, especially in league play with the Commodores being 6-2 at home in the SEC with four ranked opponents leaving the venue with a loss.

This is a huge game for the SEC tonight in Music City. On one baseline, Vanderbilt could win their fourth straight to further improve their standing back in the postseason while, on the other baseline, Arkansas could be on the brink as far as the tournaments go in year one under John Calipari.