Arkansas vs. Alabama odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Razorbacks, Tide

The Arkansas Razorbacks and Alabama Crimson Tide are preparing for what’s slated to be a huge SEC showdown on Saturday afternoon.

Entering Saturday’s regular season finale, the Razorbacks are 15-15 on the season, not where they expected to be when they first started their campaign. On the other hand, the Crimson Tide have been among the best teams in the nation over the 2023-2024 campaign, and enter Saturday with a 20-10 record.

Both teams are looking for a win on Saturday and a victory in a conference rivalry. Time will tell, but here’s everything you need to know before Arkansas and Alabama tip-off.

Odds for Arkansas vs. Alabama

Coming into the game, Alabama is a 14.5-point favorite over Arkansas, per FanDuel. The Crimson Tide are also currently listed at -1600 for the moneyline right now, while the Razorbacks are sitting at +900. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 173.5 points. We’ll see if these two conference rivals can get to that total when they clash on Saturday. 

Final score predictions for Arkansas vs. Alabama

BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 23.6
BPI Win probability (for Alabama): 96.2%
BPI Matchup Quality: 70.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 23.6 points in Alabama’a favor. It also gives the Crimson Tide an 96.2 percent chance to win the game over the Razorbacks. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 70.7, which is in the middle of the road for Saturday’s competition. 

KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 95, Arkansas 79
KenPom Win probability (for Alabama): 94%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Arkansas and Alabama, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Crimson Tide to win.

How to watch Arkansas vs. Alabama

Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Coleman Coliseum | Tuscaloosa, AL

Arkansas and Alabama are set to tip off at 12:00 p.m. EST. It will be played at the Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.