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Arkansas vs. Kansas odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samraabout 9 hours

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John Calipari | Bill Self
John Calipari (Andrew Nelles / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images) | Bill Self (Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images)

A tremendous matchup will take place on in Round 1 of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday evening. The No. 7-seed Kansas Jayhawks, led by Bill Self, will take on John Calipari and the No. 10-seed in the Arkansas Razorbacks.

It’s a massive showdown, and both teams, with their legendary coaches in tow, will be pining to advance to the Round of 32. Kansas enters the game off a regular season that saw them go 21-12, and they fell in their last game to the Arizona Wildcats by 11 in the Big 12 Tournament.

On the other hand, Calipari’s Razorbacks went 20-13 in his first season at the helm. They lost to Ole Miss by three in the SEC Tournament. All that goes out the window in the NCAA Tournament though. Check out everything you need to know for one of the more fascinating matchups in the entire Round of 64.

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Odds for Arkansas vs. Kansas

Coming into the game, Kansas is a 4.5-point favorite over Arkansas, per FanDuel. The Jayhawks are also currently listed at -192 for the money-line right now, while the Razorbacks are sitting at +158.

The point total for the game is currently set at 145.5 points. It’s certainly feasible that these two teams reach that number when they face off, and all the chips are pushed to the center of the table.

Final score predictions for Arkansas vs. Kansas

BPI Predicted winner: Kansas
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.6
BPI Win probability (for Kansas): 71.0%
BPI Matchup Quality: 84.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 5.6 points in Kansas’ favor. It also gives the Jayhawks a 71.0% chance to win the game over the Razorbacks.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 84.3. It’s among the best quality scores of Thursday’s college basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Kansas 73, Arkansas 69
KenPom Win probability (for Kansas): 64%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Kansas and Arkansas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Jayhawks to be victorious.

How to watch Arkansas vs. Kansas

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET | March 20
Channel: CBS
Location: Amica Mutual Pavilion | Providence, Rhode Island

Kansas and Arkansas are set to tip off at 7:10 p.m. EST on Thursday. It will also be played at the Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, Rhode Island, as part of a huge NCAA Tournament showdown between two of the more fascinating teams in college basketball. For fans outside of Rhode Island, the game can be watched on CBS.

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