Arkansas vs. Kentucky odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

John Calipari returns to Rupp Arena on Saturday night. It’s a day that both Arkansas and Kentucky fanbases have had circled since April, and it’s finally upon us.

The Razorbacks (12-8, 1-6 SEC) are looking to earn their second win in SEC play while the Wildcats (15-5, 4-3 SEC) are coming off a gutsy road win at Tennessee earlier in the week.

Ahead of tip-off, here’s everything you need to know about Arkansas vs. Kentucky ahead of tip-off, including betting odds, how to watch and score predictions.

Odds for Razorbacks vs. Wildcats

Entering Saturday’s SEC matchup, Kentucky (-650) is an 11.5-point favorite over Arkansas (+460) at home, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 157.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Kentucky
BPI Predicted point differential: 9.5
BPI Win probability (for Wildcats): 82.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 79.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 9.5 points in the Wildcats’ favor. It also gives UK an over 80 percent chance to win the game over the Razorbacks.

KenPom Predicted final score: Kentucky 84, Arkansas 73
KenPom Win probability (for Wildcats): 84%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Kentucky and Arkansas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Razorbacks to lose.

How to watch Arkansas vs. Kentucky

Time: 9 p.m. ET – Saturday, Feb. 1
Channel: ESPN, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Rupp Arena – Lexington, KY

Kentucky remains heavily favored during the matchup despite the fanfare the game is receiving. That is for good season, though, as it’s the first time John Calipari is returning to Kentucky since leaving the program in April.

The matchup will also feature the likes of DJ Wagner, Adou Thiero and Zvonimir Ivisic‘s return to Rupp Arena after following their head coach to Fayetteville this offseason.

On the court, however, Arkansas has struggled to catch fire thus far in SEC play, losing six of its first seven games in conference action. Kentucky, on the other hand, has been ranked all season under first-year head coach Mark Pope and is 6-1 against AP Top 25 opponents this season.