Arkansas vs. LSU odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Razorbacks, Tigers

LSU is set to host Arkansas on Saturday in a clash between two teams that are still trying to hit their stride entering February.

Both teams sit in the middle-to-bottom tier of the SEC rankings as of Feb. 3, and the outcome of Saturday’s matchup will go a long way in helping either squad turn their season around.

The Tigers are the consensus favorite to walk out with a victory despite LSU losing its last three games. Meanwhile, Arkansas snapped a three-game losing streak of their own having defeated Missouri on Wednesday.

Odds for Arkansas vs. LSU

Coming into the game, LSU is a 5.5-point favorite over Arkansas, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Tigers are currently listed at -230 on the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Razorbacks are sitting at +188. 

The point total for the game is set at 151.5 points. LSU comes into the game averaging 76.7 points per game. Meanwhile, Arkansas averages 76. — both are middle of the pack in scoring offenses in the SEC coming into Saturday.

Final score predictions for Arkansas vs. LSU

BPI Predicted winner: LSU
BPI Predicted point differential: 7.8
BPI Win probability (for LSU): 75.5 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 66.9

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 7.8 points in LSU’s favor. It also gives the Tigers a 75.5 percent chance to win the game over the Razorbacks at home.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 66.9, which ranks outside of the top 25 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: LSU 78, Arkansas 73
KenPom Win probability (for LSU): 69 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between LSU and Arkansas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ consensus, projecting the Tigers to lose by roughly 5-8 points.

How to watch Arkansas vs. LSU

Time: Noon ET
Channel: ESPN2, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center — Baton Rouge, Louisiana

The opening tip between the Razorbacks and Tigers is scheduled for Noon ET and will air live on ESPN2. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.