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Arkansas vs. Miami odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra12/03/24

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John Calipari, Arkansas Jim Larranaga, Miami
John Calipari, Arkansas (Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images) Jim Larranaga, Miami (Sam Navarro-Imagn Images)

The Arkansas Razorbacks are preparing for a trip to the Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida, where they’ll face the Miami Hurricanes in the SEC/ACC Men’s Challenge.

First, the Razorbacks are off to a great start, as the John Calipari era is underway. They’re 5-2 on the season, but they’re coming off a loss their last time out, where they fell by 13 to the Illinois Fighting Illini. On the other hand, the Hurricanes have started slow at 3-4, and they’re currently on a four-game losing streak.

With that in mind, both teams could use a win on Tuesday evening. Here’s everything you need to know before the action gets underway between Arkansas and Miami.

Odds for Arkansas vs. Miami

Coming into the game, Arkansas is a 5.5-point favorite over Miami, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Razorbacks are also currently listed at -210 for the money-line, right now, while the Hurricanes are sitting at +172. 

As for the point total for the showdown, it’s currently set at 154.5 points. Time will tell, but these two teams and their high-scoring ability have a chance to hit that number on Tuesday evening.

Final score predictions for Arkansas vs. Miami

BPI Predicted winner: Miami
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.6
BPI Win probability (for Miami): 52.4%
BPI Matchup Quality: 77.1

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It doesn’t agree with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 0.6 points in Miami’s favor. It also gives the Hurricanes a 52.4 percent chance to win the game over the Razorbacks. 

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BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 77.1, which is in the middle of the road for quality scores of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Arkansas 78, Miami 75
KenPom Win probability (for Arkansas): 62%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Arkansas and Miami, KenPom agrees with Vegas, projecting the Razorbacks to win.

How to watch Arkansas vs. Miami

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Coral Gables, FL

Arkansas and Miami are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida, as part of the SEC/ACC Men’s Challenge.

For fans outside of Florida, the game can be watched on ESPN2. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.