Arkansas vs. Tennessee odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Top-ranked Tennessee will begin SEC play on Saturday when the Vols host No. 23 Arkansas at Thompson-Boling Arena. This will also be the first SEC game with the Razorbacks for first-year Arkansas coach John Calipari.

There are plenty of storylines entering the matchup as both teams attempt to start SEC play with a win. Calipari and Tennessee head coach Rick Barnes have had plenty of memorable matchups over the years. This could be another one.

Tennessee is led by North Florida transfer Chaz Lanier, who is averaging 19.6 points per game while shooting nearly 46 percent from 3-point range. As for Arkansas, Adou Thiero is leading the way for the Razorbacks, averaging 17.8 points and 5.8 rebounds per contest.

Odds for Tennessee vs. Arkansas

Ahead of the matchup, Tennessee is listed as a 12.5-point favorite over Arkansas, per FanDuel. The Vols are also currently listed at -1000 for the moneyline. As for Arkansas, the Razorbacks are at +640 on the moneyline.

The point total for the game is currently set at 143.5 points. Despite this being a top-25 matchup, Vegas is expecting the Vols to roll.

Final score predictions for Tennessee vs. Arkansas

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 12.4
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 88 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 84.6

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 12.4 points in Tennessee’s favor. It also gives the Vols an 88 percent chance to win the game over Arkansas.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 84.6, which isn’t very high. The game isn’t expected to be very close.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 76, Arkansas 64
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 87 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Tennessee and Arkansas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas. It projects the Vols to win by 12 points.

How to watch Tennessee vs. Arkansas

Time: 1 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Knoxville (Tenn.)

Tennessee and Arkansas are set to tip off at 1 p.m. EST on Saturday. The game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, Tennessee.

For fans not attending the game, it can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.