Auburn vs. UNC odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

The night games in The Maui Invitational have resulted in a top-twelve matchup in the semifinals between No. 4 Auburn and No. 12 North Carolina tonight. Only one of the two will have the chance to win the event, though, depending on who takes it later today.

Neither were almost in the winner’s bracket, though, with how the quarterfinal games started for the Tigers and Tar Heels.

Auburn played the tougher game in a top-five matchup between them and No. 5 Iowa State. The Cyclones got up as much as 18 in the first half. The Tigers came out of halftime with a 20-4 run to tie it, though, and, with it being a back-and-forth game for the rest of the way, won it at 83-81 off of a tip-in at the rim from Johni Broome. Broome finished with a double-double of 21 points and 10 rebounds with two assists, blocks, and steals apiece while four of his teammates scored a dozen or more too.

North Carolina also faced a massive deficit against Dayton. The Flyers were up as much as 21 points on UNC in the second half. That was before the Tar Heels closed the game at 57-34 run over the 17 and a half minutes to end the game to win at 92-90 in regulation. RJ Davis finished with a season-high of 30 points with seven rebounds, five assists, and a steal while Seth Trimble had a career-best game with a 27-point, 10-rebound double-double.

Odds for Auburn vs. North Carolina

Per the odds at FanDuel, Auburn has opened as a 4.5-point favorite today over North Carolina. That has the Tar Heels at (+158) on the moneyline.

The total for the over-under is then set at 165.5 points.

Final score predictions for Auburn vs. North Carolina

BPI Predicted winner: Auburn
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.4
BPI Win probability (for Auburn): 59.3%
BPI Matchup Quality: 96.9

ESPN’s BPI (Basketball Power Index) is favoring Auburn in this matchup. It’s predicting a Tigers’ win by a margin that’s less than a possession with their probability of that at 59.3%.

No. 4 Auburn vs. No. 12 North Carolina is also the index’s highest-rated matchup on a day with a loaded slate of games across the country based on the quality statistic.

KenPom Predicted final score: Auburn 86, North Carolina 80
KenPom Win probability (for Auburn): 69%

KenPom is leaning with Auburn even more so based on its prediction. It has the Tigers taking it by six over the Tar Heels with a win probability calculated at 69%.

How to watch Auburn vs. North Carolina

Time: 11 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Lahaina Civic Center (Maui, Hawaii)

Auburn and North Carolina will play the second of the two semifinals in the Maui Invitational later tonight. The winner will then play for the championship in the event on Wednesday against one of Memphis or Michigan State as part of the action during Feast Week.