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Baylor vs. Kansas odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Bears, Jayhawks

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra02/10/24

SamraSource

Baylor, Kansas
© William Purnell-USA TODAY Sports

The Baylor Bears and Kansas Jayhawks are preparing for what’s slated to be a huge Big 12 showdown on Saturday afternoon.

Entering Saturday’s clash, the Bears are 17-5 on the season, coming off a win over Texas Tech in their last contest, which was their third straight victory. On the other hand, the Jayhawks have won a majority of their games, and enter Saturday with an impressive 18-5 record.

Both teams are looking for win on Saturday, and a victory in a conference rivalry. Time will tell, but here’s everything you need to know before Baylor and Kansas tip off.

Odds for Baylor vs. Kansas

Coming into the game, Kansas is a 7.5-point favorite over Baylor, per FanDuel. The Jayhawks are also currently listed at -340 for the moneyline, right now, while the Bears are sitting at +270. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 148.5 points. We’ll see if these two conference rivals can get to that total when they clash on Saturday. 

Final score predictions for Baylor vs. Kansas

BPI Predicted winner: Kansas
BPI Predicted point differential: 4.5
BPI Win probability (for Kansas): 67%
BPI Matchup Quality: 89.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 4.5 points in Kansas’ favor. It also gives the Jayhawks a 67 percent chance to win the game over the Bears. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 89.8, which isn’t among the top showdowns on Saturday, but we’ll see if they can deliver an exciting showdown. 

KenPom Predicted final score: Kansas 78, Baylor 74
KenPom Win probability (for Kansas): 64 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Baylor and Kansas, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gamecocks to win.

How to watch Baylor vs. Kansas

Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Allen Fieldhouse | Lawrence, KS

Baylor and Kansas are set to tip off at 6:00 p.m. EST. It will be played at the Allen Fieldhoyse in Lawrence, KS with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.