BYU vs. Wisconsin odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

No. 13 Wisconsin and No. 17 BYU meet up in the Round of 32 of the 2025 NCAA Tournament in what the experts believe could be one of the closest March Madness games yet. The third-seeded Badgers tip off against sixth-seeded Cougars in the second round at 7:45 pm ET, Saturday from Denver’s Ball Arena.

BYU (25-9) entered the NCAA Tournament as one of the hottest teams in the country, winning nine straight before losing to eventual No. 1 seed Houston in the Big 12 Tournament semifinal. Of course, the Cougars went right back to their winning ways once in March Madness with a 80-71 win over 11th-seeded VCU in the opening-round matchup Thursday. Over the past 10 games, BYU is outscoring its competition by an average score of 83.8-75 while shooting 48.9-percent from the field.

Meanwhile, Wisconsin (27-9) has been a bit inconsistent, going 6-4 over its last 10 games, including a 59-53 loss to Michigan in the Big Ten Tournament championship game, besting its competition by an average score of 74.3-69.5 shooting just 42-percent from the floor. The Badgers beat 14th-seeced Montana 85-66 in their first-round NCAA Tournament game Thursday.

Odds for BYU vs. Wisconsin

Entering the Round of 32, No. 3-seed Wisconsin is a meager 1.5-point favorite over 6th-seeded UCLA, per FanDuel. The Big Ten’s Badgers are also listed with -114 moneyline, while the Big 12’s Cougars are sitting at -105.

Oddsmakers expect an extremely close, defensive slugfest with an over-under point total for the game currently set at just 154.5 points.

Final score predictions for BYU vs. Wisconsin

BPI Predicted winner: Wisconsin
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.8
BPI Win probability (for Wisconsin): 53.2%
BPI Matchup Quality: 90.2

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of less than a single points in the Badgers’ favor. It also gives Wisconin just a slight 53.2-percent chance to win the NCAA Tournament game over the Cougars.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 90.2 as the second-best score among Saturday’s slate of games.

KenPom Predicted final score: Wisconsin 79, BYU 76
KenPom Win probability (for Wisconsin): 59%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this NCAA Tournament game between BYU and Wisconsin, KenPom expects a close one but not quite as close with BPI and Vegas, with the Badgers projected to win by just three points.

How to watch BYU vs. Wisconsin

Time: 7:45 pm ET, Saturday
Channel: CBS
Location: Ball Arena, Denver (Colorado)

BYU and Wisconsin tip off in primetime Saturday from inside Denver’s Ball Arena in the second round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament.

For fans that can’t make the game, it will be televised on CBS. Coverage of the NCAA Tournament will air live throughout the day on TNT, TruTV, CBS and TBS.

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