Drake vs. Missouri odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

The NCAA Tournament is finally here. With that comes the excitement and chaos of March. Certainly, the Drake Bulldogs would love to create some chaos as an 11-seed looking to upset the 6-seed Missouri Tigers out of the SEC.

This comes in a season that was a remarkable turnaround for Missouri. After winning just eight games last season, head coach Dennis Gates managed to lead to Tigers to 22 wins in the 2024-25 season. So, there are plenty of reasons to feel confident. Across the way, Drake is coming off an excellent 30-3 season in the first year that Ben McCollum has led the program. So, it’s no surprise there are now rumors about McCollum’s future and potentially landing a new job.

Ahead of their game, here’s a look at predictions for the Drake vs. Missouri game. That includes the current betting line, win probability, and how fans can watch the game.

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Odds for Drake vs. Missouri

Coming into the game, Missouri is a 6.5-point favorite over Drake, per FanDuel. The Tigers are also currently listed at -275 for the moneyline, right now, while the Bulldogs are sitting at +220.

The point total for the game is currently set at 132.5 points. The Tigers have managed to go over that number in every game since February 8th, totaling eight straight games. Drake, meanwhile, has gone under that point total for eight straight games.

Final score predictions for Drake vs. Missouri

BPI Predicted winner: Missouri
BPI Predicted point differential: 6.2
BPI Win probability (for Mizzou): 73 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 74.5

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Notably, BPI agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game and is projecting a point differential of 6.2 points in Missouri’s favor. It also gives the Tigers a 73 percent chance to win the game over the Bulldogs.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 74.5, which is the ninth-best quality score of the day on Thursday. That is out of 16 games that are going to be played.

KenPom Predicted final score: Missouri 71, Drake 65
KenPom Win probability (for Mizzou): 72 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Missouri and Drake, KenPom has a similar prediction to BPI and Vegas, projecting the Tigers to win by six points. Notably, it also gives a point total of 136 points for the game. That would be above the Vegas point total.

How to watch Drake vs. Missouri

Time: 7:35 p.m. ET
Channel: TruTV, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Intrust Bank Arena — Wichita, KS

Drake and Missouri are going to tip off at 7:35 p.m. EST. It’s set to be played at Intrust Bank Arena, which is in Wichita, Kansas. That puts it relatively close to both schools, which come from separate bordering states. Around 15,000 fans can make their way into the arena for the game.

It will also be on TV for those fans who can’t make it to see the game in person. The game is set to air on TruTV for those using cable, and there are going to be streaming options like FuboTV as well.

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