Duke vs. UNC odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Blue Devils, Tar Heels

The odds and predictions have been released for the upcoming Duke and UNC matchup, the latest game in the school’s historic rivalry.

Coming into the game, Duke is ranked No. 7 in the country while North Carolina is No. 3 overall. However, the Tar Heels came off a 74-73 upset loss to Georgia Tech. But why not bounce back against your rival?

Let’s dive into the latest odds and predictions for the Blue Devils and Tar Heels.

Odds for Duke vs. UNC

North Carolina is currently listed as a 4.5 point favorite over Duke, according to FanDuel. If you want to bet Duke-UNC on the moneyline, the Tar Heels are -182 while the Blue Devils are +150 straight up.

As far as the total is concerned, it’s listed at 150.5 points, as the outlet is expecting it to be a high scoring affair.

Final score predictions for Duke vs. UNC

BPI Predicted winner: UNC
BPI Predicted point differential: 4.1 points
BPI Win probability (for UNC): 64.7%
BPI Matchup Quality: 92.6

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. The metric has the Tar Heels as the winner in a close game against their foe. The Blue Devils only have a little over a 35% chance to win.

The matchup quality is well over a 90, which is good for No. 3 overall during the Saturday basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: UNC beats Duke 79-73
KenPom Win probably (for UNC): 68%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. This metric has the Tar Heels winning as well, relatively by the same amount as Vegas and ESPN’s BPI.

How to watch Duke vs. UNC

Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN/FuboTV (Streaming)
Location: Chapel Hill (N.C)

The Tar Heels and Blue Devils tip off in the middle of the six o’clock on ESPN. But you can watch the game on FuboTV.

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