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Florida vs. Georgia odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Gators, Bulldogs

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra02/17/24

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UF/UGA
© Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports

The Florida Gators and Georgia Bulldogs are preparing for what’s slated to be a huge SEC showdown on Saturday afternoon.

Entering Saturday’s clash, the Gators are 17-7 on the season, coming off a win the LSU Tigers in their last contest, which was their six win in seven games. On the other hand, the Bulldogs have been a little more inconsistent this season, and enter Saturday with a 14-10 record.

Both teams are looking for win on Saturday, and a victory in a conference rivalry. Time will tell, but here’s everything you need to know before Florida and Georgia tip off.

Odds for Florida vs. Georgia

Coming into the game, Florida is a 3.5-point favorite over Georgia, per FanDuel. The Gators are also currently listed at -165 for the moneyline, right now, while the Bulldogs are sitting at +140. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 157.5 points. We’ll see if these two conference rivals can get to that total when they clash on Saturday. 

Final score predictions for Florida vs. Georgia

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.7
BPI Win probability (for Florida): 59.5%
BPI Matchup Quality: 86.5

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 2.7 points in Florida’s favor. It also gives the Gators a 59.5 percent chance to win the game over the Bulldogs. 

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BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 86.5, which is among the best of the best for Saturday’s competitions.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 80, Georgia 77
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 60 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Florida and Georgia, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gators to win.

How to watch Florida vs. Georgia

Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Stegeman Coliseum | Athens, GA

Florida and Georgia are set to tip off at 1:00 p.m. EST. It will be played at the Stegeman Coliseum in Athens, GAwith a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on SEC Network. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.