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Florida vs. Kentucky odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko01/04/25

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Florida and Kentucky are ready for an important SEC matchup in January Saturday and the odds and predictions are in for the Gators and Wildcats.

Both teams have yet to play an SEC team, but are hot right now. At 13-0, Florida is ranked No. 6 in the country while Kentucky is ranked No. 10 and sports an 11-2 record.

Without further ado, let’s dive into the latest odds and predictions for Florida and Kentucky.

Odds for Florida vs. Kentucky

Coming into the game, Florida is a 3.5 point underdog to Kentucky going to Lexington, per FanDuel. The total is set at 166.5 points.

If you want to bet the moneyline, the Gators are listed at +138 while the Wildcats are listed at -166.

Final score predictions for Florida vs. Kentucky

BPI Predicted winner: Kentucky
BPI Predicted point differential: 3.1
BPI Win probability (for Kentucky): 62.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 91.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Here, the Gators are projected to lose to the Wildcats by a little over three points, so it’s very similar to the Vegas line.

Despite that, this is a highly rated matchup, per ESPN’s BPI. It’s the third highest ranked game of the Saturday slate and the highest ranked SEC matchup.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 83, Kentucky 82
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 52%

KenPom flipped the prediction and picked Florida to win a tight game on the road but one point. The percentage at just over 50% doesn’t inspire much confidence, so this is pretty much a pick ‘em from a betting standpoint.

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.

How to watch Florida vs. Kentucky

Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
Channel: ESPN
Location: Lexington, Kentucky

Florida and Kentucky are set for a Saturday morning tipoff, so make sure to get your coffee and breakfast done, or ready, and strap in for a high quality basketball matchup. Big Blue will be on display welcoming the Gators.

The game can be found on ESPN nationwide.