Florida vs. Mississippi State odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Riding the momentum of a victory against No. 1 Auburn this past weekend, Florida hits the road to take on Mississippi State on Tuesday. Now the No. 3 Gators will look to avoid falling victim to an upset themselves in front of what is sure to be a rowdy crowd in Starkville.

The overall series between Florida and Mississippi State is pretty even, with the Gators having a 67-53 all-time advantage. They’ve also won three of the past four meetings but as just 26-35 in road matchups.

You can view more information about the contest below.

Odds for Gators vs. Bulldogs

Florida (-126) is just a 1.5-point favorite on the road against Mississippi State (+105), according to FanDuel. Additionally, the over/under for the game is set at 151.5.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 1.3
BPI Win probability (for Gators): 55.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 90.1

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It seems to agree nearly on the nose with the predictions from Vegas, picking the Gators as narrow winners.

That said, it truly could go either way in this matchup as Florida has just over a 50% chance of victory.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 79, Mississippi State 75
KenPom Win probability (for Gators): 65%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. KenPom gives Florida the highest chance of the two, with a 65% chance of coming out on top.

How to watch Florida vs. Mississippi State

Time: 7 p.m. ET – Tuesday, Feb. 11
Channel: ESPN2
Location: Humphrey Coliseum – Starkville, MS

Florida appears to be finding a rhythm of late as it had now won five of its past six contests. That includes a 90-81 win against Auburn on Saturday that came without Alijah Martin, the Gators’ second-leading scorer.

Martin, who averages 15.3 points per game, is expected to return to the court Tuesday. He and Walter Clayton, who had 19 points to lead Florida in the win against the Tigers.

Mississippi State will be eager to knock the Gators back down after their big win this past week and earn a resume-boosting victory in the process. They narrowly beat Georgia by a score of 76-75 over the weekend.

Josh Hubbard led the team with 16 points in that win while KeShawn Murphy chipped in 14 points and eight rebounds off the bench.