Georgia vs. Florida odds: Win probability, final score prediction in SEC Tournament

The Georgia Bulldogs and Florida Gators face off in the SEC Tournament on Thursday in what should be a heated battle between two rivals.

Entering Thursday’s showdown, the Bulldogs have a 17-15 regular season record. They took down the Missouri Tigers 64-59 to move on in the conference tournament. The Gators come into the tournament off of a loss to Vanderbilt. It made their final regular season record 21-10.

Both teams are looking for a win and the chance to move on in the SEC Tournament. The Gators are a projected No. 7 seed for the NCAA tournament later this month. Here’s everything you need to know before Florida and Georgia tipoff tonight.

Odds for Florida vs. Georgia

Coming into the game, Florida is a 7.5-point favorite over Georgia, per FanDuel. The Gators are also currently listed at -320 for the moneyline right now, while the Sooners are sitting at +255. 

The point total for the game is currently 154.5 points. We’ll see if these two rivals can get to that total. In their previous matchups this season, Florida won both times, 102-98 and 88-82.

Final score predictions for Bulldogs vs. Gators

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 7.3
BPI Win probability (for Florida): 74.3%
BPI Matchup Quality: 78.6

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 7.3 points in Florida’s favor. It also gives the Gators a 74.3 percent chance to win the game over the Bulldogs. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 78.6.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 81, Georgia 75
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 72%

The KenPom system is another predictive method for college basketball games. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Florida and Georgia, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gators to win.

How to watch Florida vs. Georgia

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, ESPN+, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Bridgestone Arena | Nashville, TN

The Gators and Bulldogs will tip off at 9:00 p.m. ET. The game is at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville. It’s the last game of the night after Mississippi State-LSU, Arkansas-South Carolina and Ole Miss-Texas A&M.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on SEC Network and ESPN+. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.