Gonzaga vs. Houston odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch in NCAA Tournament

Styles make fights, especially with how the bracket can break in the NCAA Tournament. That’ll apply to one of the games in the Round of 32 this weekend between No. 1 Houston and No. 8 Gonzaga.

Houston (31-4) again showed why they’re one of the No. 1 seeds with a nearly doubled-up outcome in their first game with a 78-40 win over No. 16 SIU Edwardsville. Four Cougars got to double figures while holding SIUE to just 30.6% shooting overall and only 8.3% from three. Now, they’ll play for a sixth-straight spot in the second weekend.

Gonzaga (26-8) was then just as dominant in their opening win at 89-68 over No. 9 Georgia. The Bulldogs got up double-digits immediately and led for the duration, and by as much as 26, by shooting 55% overall and 60% from distance. They too will now look to keep a streak alive in playing for their fourteenth consecutive berth in the second weekend.

Again, styles make fights, especially when you’re talking about coaching as good as that of Kelvin Sampson and Mark Few. Which way this game leans will better determine who’s going to move on with Houston having the best scoring defense with some of the best defensive efficiency in the country while Gonzaga has the second-best scoring offense with top-ten offensive efficiency in the nation.

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Odds for Gonzaga vs. Houston

Per the latest odds at FanDuel, Houston is a 5.5-point favorite (-102) over Gonzaga. That has the ‘Zags at (-168) on the moneyline as the underdog here

The over-under is then at a total of 139.5 points. The under is slightly favored at (-105), which would play towards the Cougars considering that defense of theirs.

Final score predictions for Gonzaga vs. Houston

BPI Predicted Winner: Houston
BPI Predicted Point Differential: 6.2
BPI Win Probability (for Houston): 72.8%
BPI Matchup Quality: 94.2

ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI) is projecting a similar kind of win for Houston. It has the Cougars taking the win by just over six points with a win probability set at 72.8%.

Matchup quality then has this as the best of the eight games on Saturday. It’s four better than the next closest on the schedule, making it a must-see meeting in Wichita.

KenPom Predicted Final Score: Houston 73, Gonzaga 68
KenPom Win Probability (for Houston): 67%

KenPom also had another alike predicted in favor of Houston. Their projection had the Cougars winning it by five but with a slightly lower win probability of 67%.

How to watch Gonzaga vs. Houston

Time: 8:40 p.m. EST on Saturday (March 22nd)
Channel: TNT
Location: INTRUST Bank Arena (Wichita, Kansas)

No. 1 Houston vs. No. 8 Gonzaga will be one of the later games on tomorrow’s schedule for the Round of 32. For the quality of coaches, programs, and teams, though, it’ll be well worth staying up for to see which streak continues for another season into the Sweet 16.

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