Grand Canyon vs. Alabama odds: Win probability, final score prediction in NCAA Tournament

With one win each on their path to a national championship, the Grand Canyon Lopes and Alabama Crimson Tide are set to square off on Sunday, the winner taking a spot in this year’s Sweet 16.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

The Lopes are coming off a win over the Saint Mary’s in their Round of 32. Tyon Grant-Foster led the way in that showdown, accumulating 22 points during that contest for Grand Canyon, helping them move onto the next round.

As for the Crimson Tide, they took care of business following their impressive regular season, backing it up with a drubbing on Charleston. It was Mark Sears and his 30 points leading the charge in that win.

Odds for Grand Canyon vs. Alabama

According to FanDuel as of the time of this publishing, Alabama sits as a 5.5-point favorite over Grand Canyon. The Crimson Tide are -240 on the moneyline, with the Lopes priced at +200.

The point total for the game is sitting at 168.5 points. We’ll see if these two competitive teams can get to that total when they clash on Sunday. 

Final score predictions for Grand Canyon vs. Alabama

BPI predicted winner: Alabama
BPI predicted point differential: 9.0
BPI win probability: 78.1
BPI matchup quality: 81.2

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 9.0 points in Alabama’s favor. It also gives the Crimson Tide a 78.1 percent chance to win the game over the Lopes. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 81.2, which is in the middle of the road for Sunday’s competition. 

KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 86, Grand Canyon 81
KenPom win probability: Alabama, 69%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Grand Canyon and Alabama, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Crimson Tide to win.

How to watch Grand Canyon vs. Alabama

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET Sunday
Channel: TBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena — Omaha, NE

Grand Canyon and Alabama are set to tip off at 7:10 p.m. EST Sunday. It will be played at the Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena in Spokane, WA with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on TBS. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through Prime Video, where you can add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work.