Houston vs. Alabama odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

On Tuesday, No. 6 Houston and No. 9 Alabama will square off at 8 p.m. ET inside the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Top-10 matchup will headline the opening night of the Players Era Festival tournament.

Alabama and Houston have played six times in their storied histories. Each team boasts three wins in the series. However, the Crimson Tide have won the last two meetings between the programs, most recently defeating Houston 71-65 in the 2022-23 season.

Despite their high rankings, neither team is still undefeated this season. On Nov. 9, Houston fell 74-69 at a neutral site against Auburn. Only one week later, Alabama suffered an 87-78 loss to reigning national runner-up Purdue. Now, both teams will look to avoid adding another loss to their record on Tuesday night.

Odds for Houston vs. Alabama

Houston is the higher-ranked team entering Tuesday night’s showdown and, likewise, the Cougars are the betting favorite. According to FanDuel, Houston is a 4.5-point favorite against the Crimson Tide.

The over/under for the game is set at 150.5 points. For reference, Houston and Auburn combined for 143 points in their matchup earlier this season. Meanwhile, Alabama and Purdue easily surpassed this mark, scoring 165 points together.

Final score predictions for Houston vs. Alabama

BPI Predicted winner: Houston
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.7
BPI Win probability (for Houston): 71.3 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 94.9

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It has even more confidence in the Cougars than Las Vegas, predicting Houston to win by at least five points.

Of course, that doesn’t mean it will be easy for the Cougars. The BPI model lists the matchup quality as a stunning 94.9. With so many excellent games having already unfolded across the country this season, ESPN’s BPI expects another spectacular game tonight.

KenPom Predicted final score: Houston 78, Alabama 74
KenPom Win probability (for Houston): 66 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. In this instance, KenPom agrees with oddsmakers and BPI, projecting a narrow Houston victory.

How to watch Houston vs. Alabama

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: TBS, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena — Las Vegas, NV

The star-studded matchup should provide fans with a surplus of entertainment on Tuesday evening. With standouts like Mark Sears and Grant Nelson on Alabama clashing against Houston stars LJ Cryer and Emmanuel Sharp, viewers are in for a treat.